Result
40:26
05/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | CANAL+ France |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (16 - 16)
- 10', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 12', Lebel M. (Try),
- 16', Iturria A. (Try),
- 16', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 28', Ntamack T. (Try),
- 31', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', Tuilagi M. 🟨,
- 35', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
- 39', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (24 - 10)
- 44', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
- 52', Germain B. (Try),
- 54', Colombe Reazel G. (Try),
- 61', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
- 70', Capilla E. (Try),
- 70', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Tiberghien C. (Try),
- 74', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Spring T. (Try),
Chances of winning
Aviron Bayonnais
37.3% | Draw
4.3% | Toulouse
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.4) |
21.35 ↑
(18.5) |
1.6
(1.6) |
8.4%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Toulouse will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bayonne (votes: 2 - 40%). Toulouse (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Toulouse (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5, 1st Half - Toulouse (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2, 1st Half - Toulouse (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5, 1st Half - Toulouse (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Toulouse (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 - Toulouse (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Toulouse (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Toulouse (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Half - Toulouse (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Toulouse (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 48.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 47.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 46.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 45.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 44.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +4 - Toulouse (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5 - Toulouse (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4 - Toulouse (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5 - Toulouse (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Toulouse (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Toulouse (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Bayonne (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Toulouse (votes: 19 - 90.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:28.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 2.
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 335:506. (average 17.6:26.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 182:151. (average 20.2:16.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aviron Bayonnais won against Toulouse?
Aviron Bayonnais has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Aviron Bayonnais?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse were as follows:
20.06.2025
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
32:25
22.02.2025
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
41:6
03.11.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Toulouse
12:8
03.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
46:26
18.08.2023
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Toulouse
26:7
Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
Latest results of Toulouse
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 559:311 | 48 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 441:349 | 47 |
| 3 | Stade Francais Paris | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 422:342 | 39 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 458:363 | 39 |
| 5 | RC Toulonnais | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 396:430 | 39 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 406:303 | 38 |
| 7 | Stade Rochelais | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 436:342 | 36 |
| 8 | Clermont | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 469:383 | 36 |
| 9 | Aviron Bayonnais | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 396:472 | 34 |
| 10 | Castres Olympique | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 332:380 | 33 |
| 11 | Racing 92 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 384:416 | 33 |
| 12 | Lyon | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 357:418 | 27 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 221:400 | 9 |
| 14 | Montauban | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 289:657 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
