Aviron Bayonnais vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse
Result
40:26
05/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFranceCANAL+ France
peruPeruDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
53
Conversion Goals
30
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
34
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 16)
  • 10', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Lebel M. (Try),
  • 16', Iturria A. (Try),
  • 16', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 28', Ntamack T. (Try),
  • 31', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 34', Tuilagi M. 🟨,
  • 35', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 39', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (24 - 10)
  • 44', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 52', Germain B. (Try),
  • 54', Colombe Reazel G. (Try),
  • 61', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Capilla E. (Try),
  • 70', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Tiberghien C. (Try),
  • 74', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Spring T. (Try),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aviron Bayonnais
37.3%
Draw
4.3%
Toulouse
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 4.9% 57%

Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.44
(2.4)
21.35
(18.5)
1.6
(1.6)
8.4%
(9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 52.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Toulouse will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bayonne (votes: 2 - 40%). Toulouse (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 2.
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 335:506. (average 17.6:26.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 182:151. (average 20.2:16.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse were as follows:
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    22.02.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 41:6
    03.11.2024 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse 12:8
    03.02.2024 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 46:26
    18.08.2023 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse 26:7
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    28.09.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 35:32
    20.09.2025 Castres - Aviron Bayonnais 48:17
    06.09.2025 Perpignan - Aviron Bayonnais 19:26
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    Latest results of Toulouse
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Castres 59:12
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulouse 44:14
    13.09.2025 Toulouse - Perpignan 31:13
    07.09.2025 Clermont - Toulouse 24:34
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain9603334:21729
    2Section Paloise9603249:21128
    3Bordeaux Begles9603274:24027
    4Aviron Bayonnais9603273:26026
    5Stade Francais Paris9504252:21225
    6RC Toulonnais8503241:20924
    7Clermont9504321:24423
    8Racing 928503206:21021
    9Stade Rochelais7403210:14820
    10Castres Olympique9405208:26820
    11Montpellier9315222:19119
    12Lyon9405231:27818
    13Montauban9117202:4067
    14USA Perpignan9009142:2711

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