Result
40:26
05/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | CANAL+ France |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (16 - 16)
- 10', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 12', Lebel M. (Try),
- 16', Iturria A. (Try),
- 16', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 28', Ntamack T. (Try),
- 31', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', Tuilagi M. 🟨,
- 35', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
- 39', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (24 - 10)
- 44', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
- 52', Germain B. (Try),
- 54', Colombe Reazel G. (Try),
- 61', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
- 70', Capilla E. (Try),
- 70', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Tiberghien C. (Try),
- 74', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Spring T. (Try),
Chances of winning
Aviron Bayonnais
37.3% | Draw
4.3% | Toulouse
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.4) |
21.13 ↑
(18.5) |
1.6
(1.6) |
8.5%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Toulouse will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bayonne (votes: 2 - 40%). Toulouse (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:28.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 2.
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 335:506. (average 17.6:26.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 182:151. (average 20.2:16.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aviron Bayonnais won against Toulouse?
Aviron Bayonnais has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Aviron Bayonnais?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse were as follows:
20.06.2025
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
32:25
22.02.2025
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
41:6
03.11.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Toulouse
12:8
03.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
46:26
18.08.2023
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Toulouse
26:7
Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
Latest results of Toulouse
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 144:148 | 16 |
| 2 | Stade Francais Paris | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 150:118 | 15 |
| 3 | Bordeaux Begles | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 165:134 | 14 |
| 4 | Stade Toulousain | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 164:133 | 14 |
| 5 | RC Toulonnais | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 108:81 | 14 |
| 6 | Section Paloise | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 135:123 | 14 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 143:102 | 13 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 138:130 | 13 |
| 9 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 134:134 | 13 |
| 10 | Castres Olympique | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 107:125 | 11 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 96:84 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 205:169 | 10 |
| 13 | Montauban | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 119:249 | 2 |
| 14 | USA Perpignan | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 66:144 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
