Result
31:10
31/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 3)
- 17', Delpy V. (Penalty Goal),
- 27', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 36', Maqala S. 🟨,
- 37', Martocq G. 🟨,
- 40', Graou P. (Try),
- 40', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (21 - 7)
- 58', Bosch F. 🟨,
- 61', Barassi P. (Try),
- 62', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Barassi P. (Try),
- 68', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Costes P. (Try),
- 72', Graou P. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Spring T. (Try),
- 79', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Toulouse
84.6% | Draw
3% | Aviron Bayonnais
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.09 ↓
(1.1) |
30.26 ↑
(27.7) |
7.58 ↓
(8.28) |
8.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 34:18.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3.
- In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bayonne's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Toulouse is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 532:375. (average 26.6:18.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 355:153. (average 35.5:15.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Aviron Bayonnais?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aviron Bayonnais won against Toulouse?
Aviron Bayonnais has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais were as follows:
05.10.2025
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Toulouse
40:26
20.06.2025
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
32:25
22.02.2025
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
41:6
03.11.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Toulouse
12:8
03.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Aviron Bayonnais
46:26
Latest results of Toulouse
Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 750:409 | 67 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 581:407 | 57 |
| 3 | Section Paloise | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 564:497 | 55 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 635:503 | 55 |
| 5 | Stade Francais Paris | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 559:475 | 54 |
| 6 | Clermont | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 613:487 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 566:579 | 50 |
| 8 | Stade Rochelais | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 571:493 | 45 |
| 9 | RC Toulonnais | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 492:582 | 45 |
| 10 | Lyon | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 553:530 | 43 |
| 11 | Castres Olympique | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 452:553 | 42 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 527:621 | 41 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 19 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 372:543 | 19 |
| 14 | Montauban | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 364:920 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
