Avispones de Chilpancingo vs Halcones – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Avispones de Chilpancingo - Halcones
Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ayala J. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Ayala J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 64', 2 - 1, ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, ,
  • 82', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Avispones de Chilpancingo
19.4%
Draw
23.8%
Halcones
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 29% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2% 27.9% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispones de Chilpancingo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Halcones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Halcones's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispones de Chilpancingo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halcones than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Halcones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Avispones de Chilpancingo - Halcones Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (3.78)
    3.79
    (3.14)
    1.69
    (1.94)
    8.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6).
    • Chilpancingo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Halcones has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Halcones is the undeniable favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Halcones
    27.09.2025 Halcones - Santiago 4:0
    20.09.2025 Zacatepec Siglo - Halcones 2:0
    13.09.2025 Halcones - Canamy 1:1
    06.09.2025 Ciervos - Halcones 0:2
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Los Cabos76000117:719
    2Alacranes de Durango75000216:817
    3Cimarrones de Sonora75010111:417
    4Tecos75010115:917
    5Tritones Vallarta74100212:815
    6Ensenada FC74010210:514
    7Tigres de Alica7301038:711
    8Leones Negros 27302028:811
    9UA Zacatecas72010411:128
    10Guerreros de Autlan7201048:127
    11Colima FC7200057:127
    12Mineros de Fresnillo7101147:155
    13Reboceros de La Piedad7100068:183
    14ACF Zapotlanejo7001066:192


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca75110015:420
    2Santiago7401119:714
    3Calor De San Pedro7402018:614
    4Zacatepec7400038:313
    5Matamoros73010310:610
    6Correcaminos 27204015:410
    7Halcones7202039:79
    8Cordobes FC7203027:59
    9Lobos ULMX7203027:69
    10Canamy7203029:109
    11Chilpancingo7300047:149
    12Zitacuaro7102046:136
    13Ciervos7100155:145
    14Atletico Hidalgo7012048:144


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz66000011:019
    2Heroes de Zaci74011112:714
    3Inter Playa Del Carmen73111110:613
    4Deportiva Venados63110112:612
    5Montaneses63100211:811
    6Tapachula63000310:810
    7Chiapas6300037:69
    8Pioneros6300039:119
    9Neza FC7201049:138
    10Celaya72001413:167
    11Canoneros7110148:156
    12Dragones Toluca7101056:134
    13Chapulineros6101044:134

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