South Melbourne vs Avondale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian NPL Victoria South Melbourne - Avondale
Result
0:5
17/08/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 25

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
423
Shots on target
210
Corner Kicks
25
Total shots
423
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
213
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Valentini S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 54', 0 - 2, Carpenter B. ,
  • 64', 0 - 3, Cuba C. ,
  • 67', 0 - 4, Kur K. ,
  • 69', 0 - 5, Ott G. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
21.1%
Draw
22.8%
Avondale
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 24.9% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 24.4% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Melbourne's form might have worsened.
  • Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avondale's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Melbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avondale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • South Melbourne - Avondale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.45
    (2.79)
    4.12
    (3.66)
    1.67
    (2.14)
    6.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Avondale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avondale (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Avondale will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Avondale is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 0.
    • South Melbourne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Avondale is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Avondale has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Avondale is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.3:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Avondale were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Avondale - South Melbourne 4:0
    10.08.2024 Avondale - South Melbourne 1:1
    04.05.2024 South Melbourne - Avondale 1:3
    10.09.2023 Avondale - South Melbourne 4:0
    12.08.2023 Avondale - South Melbourne 2:1
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Latest results of Avondale
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avondale FC26194366:273961
    2Heidelberg Utd26176355:253057
    3Dandenong Thunder26165560:322853
    4Oakleigh Cannons26154758:332549
    5Preston Lions26145740:281247
    6Dandenong City261010651:381340
    7Hume City261151042:40238
    8Green Gully26871139:42-331
    9South Melbourne26771229:46-1728
    10Altona Magic26761328:38-1027
    11St Albans26761345:56-1127
    12Melbourne Victory U2126531836:60-2418
    13Port Melbourne Sharks26451724:64-4017
    14Melbourne Knights26431928:72-4415

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League