Result
0:0
07/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 25
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2, Sport TV3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (403/481) | 65% (149/228) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (403/481) | 65% (149/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (98/131) | 44% (29/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/39) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 42 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 50% (16/32) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
- 34', Algobia A. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
- 38', Neiva G. 🟨,
- 39', James I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Galletto T. 🟨,
- 56', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
- 63', Neiva G. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
- 63', Tomane ↓, Perea O. ↑,
- 72', Duarte D. ↓, Ponck ↑,
- 72', Mateus Pivo ↓, Molina G. ↑,
- 78', Chiquinho ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
- 78', Rhaldney ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
- 84', Baseya S. ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
- 84', James I. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alverca
56.7% | Draw
24.9% | AVS
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1%)
Alverca - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.7) |
3.81 ↑
(3.79) |
5.1 ↑
(4.82) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alverca - AVS?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Alverca will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Alverca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- AVS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Alverca is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S.
(Injury)
Diarra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
Naves
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in AVS: Baroan A.
(Injury)
Devenish C.
(Yellow Cards)
Green A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba
(Injury)
Leo Chu
(Injury)
- There are questionable in AVS: Pedro Lima
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against AVS?
Alverca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Alverca?
AVS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - AVS were as follows:
04.10.2025
AVS
-
Alverca
1:3
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
