Result
0:0
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 24
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (189/280) | 79% (336/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (189/280) | 79% (336/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (15/59) | 51% (31/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (68/123) | 63% (64/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Rivas L. 🟨,
- 55', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 58', Encada J. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
- 62', Duarte D. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
- 62', Rivas L. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 72', Doue G. 🟨,
- 73', Santos A. ↓, Ponck ↑,
- 73', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 75', Jansson K. ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 75', Jovane ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
- 75', Stoica I. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 76', Akinsola T. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
- 81', Mendonca G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AVS
33.5% | Draw
29.1% | Estrela da Amadora
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
AVS - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.73) |
3.26 ↓
(3.34) |
2.53 ↓
(2.65) |
5.7%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AVS - Estrela da Amadora?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Estrela da Amadora will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 12).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- AVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in AVS: Baroan A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Estrela: Langa B.
(Inactive)
Luan Patrick
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in AVS: Pedro Lima
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Kalley Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AVS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Estrela da Amadora?
AVS has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against AVS?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
27.09.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
AVS
3:0
11.05.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
AVS
0:1
28.12.2024
AVS
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
