Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Martins T. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 1.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
64% (189/296) | 67% (195/292) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 1.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.46 | 1.23 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
64% (189/296) | 67% (195/292) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (21/70) | 37% (27/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
51% (54/106) | 56% (49/88) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 38% (10/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.66 | 1.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 31 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
72% (13/18) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 61 |
Clearances |
---|
51 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.23 | 0.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.45 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Kiki 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kiki ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 49', Fonseca F. 🟨,
- 71', Amine ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
- 71', Moreira P. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
- 77', Lucas Piazon ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
- 79', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 82', Tunde Akinsola ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 82', Mercado J. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Ze Luis ⚽, Lopes V. (A),
- 88', Montoia G. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
- 88', Varela N. ↓, Mamede ↑,
- 90+2', Mendonca G. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
- 90+7', Ochoa G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora 45.6% | Draw 29.3% | AVS 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Estrela da Amadora - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↑ (1.96) |
3.18 ↓ (3.45) |
3.79 ↓ (4.01) |
6.2% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - AVS?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 50%). AVS will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AVS is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Estrela is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Estrela: Fabio Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Ruiz A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in AVS: Lucas Fernandes
(Inactive)
Rodrigues G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Keliano M.
(Inactive)
Lopes M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against AVS?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Estrela da Amadora?
AVS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - AVS were as follows:
28.12.2024
AVS
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2