Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 7
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (366/445) | 79% (290/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (366/445) | 79% (290/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (30/61) | 57% (33/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (58/83) | 61% (56/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.12 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Kikas ⚽, Marcus A. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Stoica I. ⚽, Cabral S. (A),
- 45+2', 3 - 0, Kikas ⚽, Cabral S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Devenish C. ↓, Bane S. ↑,
- 46', Algobia A. ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
- 59', Barbosa R. 🟨,
- 61', Stoica I. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
- 62', Kiki ↓, Rivas D. ↑,
- 62', Pedro Lima ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 77', Paulo Vitor 🟥,
- 77', Meireles J. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 78', Barbosa R. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
- 84', Luan Patrick 🟨,
- 86', Ngom O. 🟨,
- 86', Moreira P. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
- 86', Cabral S. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
- 87', Chernev A. ↓, Drame I. ↑,
- 90+3', Grau J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ngom O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
62.3% | Draw
25.6% | AVS
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estrela da Amadora's performance.AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AVS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-20.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrela da Amadora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+16.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AVS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrela da Amadora - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.86) |
5.17 ↑
(3.55) |
11.58 ↑
(3.91) |
-19.7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - AVS?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). AVS will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Recent form of Estrela has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- AVS has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Estrela will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Estrela: Ni
(Injury)
Robinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in AVS: Molina G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Jovane
(Inactive)
Nilton
(Foot Injury)
Semeu
(Injury)
Stoica I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in AVS: Lourenco B.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against AVS?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Estrela da Amadora?
AVS has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - AVS were as follows:
11.05.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
AVS
0:1
28.12.2024
AVS
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
