Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Martins T. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (189/296) | 67% (195/292) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (189/296) | 67% (195/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/70) | 37% (27/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (54/106) | 56% (49/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Kiki 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kiki ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 49', Fonseca F. 🟨,
- 71', Amine ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
- 71', Moreira P. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
- 77', Lucas Piazon ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
- 79', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 82', Tunde Akinsola ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 82', Mercado J. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Ze Luis ⚽, Lopes V. (A),
- 88', Montoia G. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
- 88', Varela N. ↓, Mamede ↑,
- 90+2', Mendonca G. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
- 90+7', Ochoa G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
45.6% | Draw
29.3% | AVS
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Estrela da Amadora - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.96) |
3.18 ↓
(3.45) |
3.79 ↓
(4.01) |
6.2%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - AVS?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 50%). AVS will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AVS is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Estrela is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Estrela: Fabio Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Ruiz A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in AVS: Lucas Fernandes
(Inactive)
Rodrigues G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Keliano M.
(Inactive)
Lopes M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against AVS?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Estrela da Amadora?
AVS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - AVS were as follows:
28.12.2024
AVS
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
