Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/417) | 66% (163/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/417) | 66% (163/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (42/64) | 34% (25/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (87/138) | 52% (48/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/34) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Fuentes P. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
- 20', 0 - 1, Ganoza M. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 23', Perez A. 🟨,
- 28', Barrios K. 🟨,
- 31', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
- 33', Montenegro D. 🟨,
- 35', Correa Flores C. A. 🟨,
- 45', Cabello C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Perez A. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
- 46', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 46', Ascues C. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 46', Caro D. 🟨,
- 55', Ferreyra K. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 55', Caro D. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 60', Barrios K. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
- 68', Perez Azambuya E. M. 🟨,
- 70', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
- 70', Lucumi J. ↓, Ratto P. ↑,
- 72', Yovera A. 🟨,
- 84', Rojas J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 85', Choi G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
68.5% | Draw
19.3% | Ayacucho
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ADT Tarma - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.34) |
4.85 ↓
(5.08) |
7.69 ↓
(8.71) |
6.6%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19).
- ADT has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ayacucho is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, ADT is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in ADT: Desio G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ayacucho: Valencia J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in ADT: Fernandez A.
(Injury)
Rojas J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Ayacucho?
ADT Tarma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against ADT Tarma?
Ayacucho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Ayacucho were as follows:
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
