Ayacucho vs ADT Tarma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Ayacucho - ADT Tarma
Result
2:2
12/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.60
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
719
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
70% (138/198)86% (409/478)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.67
Total shots
719
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
78
Passes
70% (138/198)86% (409/478)
Long passes
44% (24/55)51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
44% (30/68)71% (110/156)
Crosses
25% (3/12)39% (9/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.98
Throw-ins
1114
Fouls
87
Tackles
71% (5/7)89% (8/9)
Duels won
2828
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.671.26
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Ganoza M. 🟥,
  • 20', Ramirez D. , Leon Canchanya B. H. ,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Arakaki H. , Lucumi J. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Da Luz M. , Rojas J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 2, Da Luz M. , Cabello C. (A),
  • 57', Rojas J. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Lucumi J. , Orue D. (A),
  • 66', Orue D. 🟨,
  • 77', Tamariz A. 🟥,
  • 78', Arakaki H. , Caro D. ,
  • 79', de la Cruz A. , Peral P. ,
  • 79', Perez A. , Bazan N. ,
  • 81', Caballero F. , Barrios K. ,
  • 84', Robles A. , Rengifo H. ,

Chances of winning


Ayacucho
36.3%
Draw
29.8%
ADT Tarma
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 27.5% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 29.1% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Ayacucho - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.43)
    3.07
    (3.4)
    2.77
    (2.75)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ayacucho - ADT Tarma?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - ADT (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3).
    • Recent performances by Ayacucho have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • ADT is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in ADT: Cedron V. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ayacucho: Ataupillco J. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    25.05.2025 ADT Tarma - Ayacucho 0:1
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    18.09.2025 Ayacucho - Cusco 0:1
    12.09.2025 Cajamarca - Ayacucho 0:1
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3AD Tarma1363417:17021
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    6Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1246216:16018
    8Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    9Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    10Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    11Cienciano1143416:15115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II112549:14-511
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )