Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.27 | 0.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (336/417) | 66% (163/246) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 6 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.27 | 0.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.63 | 1.06 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
3 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
81% (336/417) | 66% (163/246) |
Long passes |
---|
66% (42/64) | 34% (25/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (87/138) | 52% (48/92) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (10/34) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.14 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (3/5) | 83% (10/12) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 44 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.06 | 0.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Fuentes P. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
- 20', 0 - 1, Ganoza M. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 23', Perez A. 🟨,
- 28', Barrios K. 🟨,
- 31', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
- 33', Montenegro D. 🟨,
- 35', Correa Flores C. A. 🟨,
- 45', Cabello C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Perez A. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
- 46', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 46', Ascues C. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 46', Caro D. 🟨,
- 55', Ferreyra K. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 55', Caro D. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 60', Barrios K. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
- 68', Perez Azambuya E. M. 🟨,
- 70', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
- 70', Lucumi J. ↓, Ratto P. ↑,
- 72', Yovera A. 🟨,
- 84', Rojas J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 85', Choi G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma 68.5% | Draw 19.3% | Ayacucho 12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ADT Tarma - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↑ (1.34) |
4.85 ↓ (5.08) |
7.69 ↓ (8.71) |
6.6% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19).
- ADT has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ayacucho is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, ADT is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in ADT: Desio G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ayacucho: Valencia J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in ADT: Fernandez A.
(Injury)
Rojas J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Ayacucho?
ADT Tarma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against ADT Tarma?
Ayacucho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Ayacucho were as follows:
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )