ADT Tarma vs Ayacucho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Ayacucho
Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.55
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
81% (336/417)66% (163/246)
Yellow Cards
46
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.06
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
126
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
3712
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
179
Passes
81% (336/417)66% (163/246)
Long passes
66% (42/64)34% (25/73)
Passes in final third
63% (87/138)52% (48/92)
Crosses
29% (10/34)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.47
Throw-ins
2710
Fouls
917
Tackles
60% (3/5)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4839
Clearances
2044
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.060.63
Goals prevented
0.060.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Fuentes P. , Montenegro D. ,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Ganoza M. , Lucumi J. (A),
  • 23', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 28', Barrios K. 🟨,
  • 31', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
  • 33', Montenegro D. 🟨,
  • 35', Correa Flores C. A. 🟨,
  • 45', Cabello C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Perez A. , Bersano F. ,
  • 46', Da Luz M. , Rengifo H. ,
  • 46', Ascues C. , Robles A. ,
  • 46', Caro D. 🟨,
  • 55', Ferreyra K. , Ramirez D. ,
  • 55', Caro D. , Yovera A. ,
  • 60', Barrios K. , Medina F. ,
  • 68', Perez Azambuya E. M. 🟨,
  • 70', Perez Azambuya E. M. , Villamarin J. ,
  • 70', Lucumi J. , Ratto P. ,
  • 72', Yovera A. 🟨,
  • 84', Rojas J. , Pinto O. ,
  • 85', Choi G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
68.5%
Draw
19.3%
Ayacucho
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 18.6% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76% 17.3% 10%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ADT Tarma - Ayacucho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.34)
    4.85
    (5.08)
    7.69
    (8.71)
    6.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19).
    • ADT has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ayacucho is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, ADT is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in ADT: Desio G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ayacucho: Valencia J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Fernandez A. (Injury) Rojas J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    19.04.2025 Cusco - Ayacucho 3:0
    11.04.2025 Ayacucho - Cajamarca 0:1
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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