Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (361/429) | 59% (118/200) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (361/429) | 59% (118/200) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 43% (38/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (83/125) | 39% (34/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Valoyes J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Falconi J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Yovera A. 🟨,
- 60', Aguirre G. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Benites Vargas L. E. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
- 66', Yovera A. ↓, Arakaki H. ↑,
- 71', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Caballero F. ⚽,
- 77', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 80', Garces C. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Hohberg A. ⚽, Garces C. (A),
- 85', Ramirez D. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 86', Hohberg A. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 86', Galeano L. ↓, Amasifuen N. ↑,
- 87', Bolado J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cienciano
65.5% | Draw
19.6% | Ayacucho
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Cienciano - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.35) |
4.82 ↓
(5.05) |
6.41 ↓
(7.4) |
7.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Cienciano is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Ayacucho?
Cienciano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cienciano?
Ayacucho has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Ayacucho were as follows:
13.07.2025
Ayacucho
-
Cienciano
1:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
