Result
1:0
13/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.04 | 0.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
76% (211/277) | 76% (258/339) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.04 | 0.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.65 | 0.01 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
76% (211/277) | 76% (258/339) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (23/46) | 48% (28/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (55/81) | 56% (68/121) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (2/18) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 0.79 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.01 | 1.65 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.01 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Barrios K. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
- 29', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 32', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Amondarain M. 🟥,
- 54', Neira C. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
- 57', Bilbao J. ↓, Ataupillco J. ↑,
- 64', Ramua A. 🟨,
- 74', Tamariz A. 🟨,
- 74', Vilchez J. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
- 74', La Torre D. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
- 74', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 90+2', Valoyes J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Falconi J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Rios M. ⚽,
- 90+5', Villamarin J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho 29.1% | Draw 28.3% | Cienciano 42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayacucho that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienciano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ayacucho - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.1 ↓ (4.2) |
3.3 ↓ (3.5) |
2.23 ↑ (1.8) |
7.4% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Cienciano?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cienciano?
Ayacucho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Ayacucho?
Cienciano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Cienciano were as follows:
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
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