Result
1:0
13/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (211/277) | 76% (258/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (211/277) | 76% (258/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (55/81) | 56% (68/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Barrios K. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
- 29', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 32', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Amondarain M. 🟥,
- 54', Neira C. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
- 57', Bilbao J. ↓, Ataupillco J. ↑,
- 64', Ramua A. 🟨,
- 74', Tamariz A. 🟨,
- 74', Vilchez J. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
- 74', La Torre D. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
- 74', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 90+2', Valoyes J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Falconi J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Rios M. ⚽,
- 90+5', Villamarin J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho
29.1% | Draw
28.3% | Cienciano
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayacucho that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienciano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ayacucho - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↓
(4.2) |
3.3 ↓
(3.5) |
2.23 ↑
(1.8) |
7.4%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Cienciano?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cienciano?
Ayacucho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Ayacucho?
Cienciano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Cienciano were as follows:
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Cusco | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Los Chankas | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Alianza Atl | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Alianza Huanuco | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
