Ayacucho vs Cienciano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Ayacucho - Cienciano
Result
1:0
13/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
  • Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.51
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
76% (211/277)76% (258/339)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.01
Total shots
128
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1516
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
76% (211/277)76% (258/339)
Long passes
50% (23/46)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
68% (55/81)56% (68/121)
Crosses
11% (2/18)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.79
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1313
Tackles
67% (8/12)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.011.65
Goals prevented
0.010.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Barrios K. , Villamarin J. ,
  • 29', Arias Fierro S. D. , Ramua A. ,
  • 32', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Amondarain M. 🟥,
  • 54', Neira C. , Palomino R. ,
  • 57', Bilbao J. , Ataupillco J. ,
  • 64', Ramua A. 🟨,
  • 74', Tamariz A. 🟨,
  • 74', Vilchez J. , Rios M. ,
  • 74', La Torre D. , Da Silva B. ,
  • 74', Benites Vargas L. E. , Noronha O. ,
  • 90+2', Valoyes J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Falconi J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Rios M. ,
  • 90+5', Villamarin J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ayacucho
29.1%
Draw
28.3%
Cienciano
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 26.5% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 25.8% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.
  • Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayacucho that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienciano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ayacucho - Cienciano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (4.2)
    3.3
    (3.5)
    2.23
    (1.8)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Cienciano?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Latest results of Cienciano
    13.06.2025 Cusco - Cienciano 0:0
    24.05.2025 Cienciano - Cajamarca 6:1
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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