Cajamarca vs Cienciano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca).

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.01	2.52
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
4	7
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
3	10
Passes
75% (226/301)	74% (260/353)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.01	2.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	2.67
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked shots
0	0
Shots inside the box
6	10
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
3	10
Touches in opposition box
23	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
10	17
Passes
75% (226/301)	74% (260/353)
Long passes
44% (29/66)	41% (29/70)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)	62% (64/104)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	24% (8/34)
Expected assists (xA)
1.88	1.15
Throw ins
7	23
Fouls
17	10
Tackles
100% (9/9)	72% (13/18)
Duels won
41	54
Clearances
31	18
Interceptions
11	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	2
xGOT faced
2.67	1.25
Goals prevented
0.67	-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Campos A. ↓, Barrios I. ↑,
24', Lliuya M. 🟨,
24', Barreto G. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Camacho D. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cavero S. ↓, Martinich M. ↑,
46', Salazar R. ↓, Hohberg A. ↑,
46', Rojas A. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
46', Barreto G. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
46', Aguirre G. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
63', Serra P. 🟨,
63', Caro D. ↓, Ganoza M. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
66', Duarte B. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Hohberg A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Camacho D. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
71', Caparo H. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
82', Munoz A. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
82', Paredes G. ↓, Garro L. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Hohberg A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning

Cajamarca
39.6%

Draw
27.9%

Cienciano
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienciano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cajamarca - Cienciano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.82)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	2.86 ↑ (2.34)	7.5% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Cienciano?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cajamarca will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
Cajamarca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cienciano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D. (Lower Back Injury)
There are questionable in Cajamarca: Medina J. (Broken Hand)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Cienciano?

Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Cajamarca?

Cienciano has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Cienciano were as follows:

13.10.2025 Cajamarca - Cienciano 0:2

24.05.2025 Cienciano - Cajamarca 6:1

13.09.2024 Cajamarca - Cienciano 1:2

06.04.2024 Cienciano - Cajamarca 1:1

08.07.2023 Cienciano - Cajamarca 2:2

Latest results of Cajamarca

19.04.2026 Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca 3:2 ✺

15.04.2026 Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo 2:2 ✺

05.04.2026 Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca 2:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 1:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Cienciano

23.04.2026 Los Chankas - Cienciano 1:0 ✺

19.04.2026 Cienciano - Moquegua 2:1 ✺

16.04.2026 Cienciano - Academia Puerto Cabello 2:0 ✺

09.04.2026 Juventud de Las Piedras - Cienciano 1:1 ✺

03.04.2026 Cienciano - ADT Tarma 3:2 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	12	9	2	1	22:5	17	29
2	Los Chankas	12	9	2	1	21:14	7	29
3	Cienciano	12	7	2	3	26:16	10	23
4	U. de Deportes	12	6	3	3	18:12	6	21
5	Comerciantes Unidos	12	5	4	3	17:15	2	19
6	Cusco	12	6	1	5	15:19	-4	19
7	FBC Melgar	12	5	2	5	18:16	2	17
8	Cajamarca	12	4	4	4	18:18	0	16
9	Moquegua	12	5	1	6	14:18	-4	16
10	Juan Pablo II	12	4	3	5	18:27	-9	15
11	Sporting Cristal	12	4	2	6	20:20	0	14
12	Alianza Atl	12	3	5	4	11:11	0	14
13	AD Tarma	12	3	4	5	15:15	0	13
14	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	3	4	5	12:16	-4	13
15	Sport Huancayo	12	3	3	6	14:18	-4	12
16	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	11:16	-5	12
17	Grau	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
18	FC Cajamarca	12	1	3	8	13:22	-9	6

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