Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (171/231) | 88% (423/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (171/231) | 88% (423/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (13/44) | 67% (31/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 75% (63/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.26 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 6', 0 - 1, Avila I. ⚽, Moretti J. (A),
- 11', Valencia J. 🟥,
- 14', Ferreira M. ↓, Izaguirre P. ↑,
- 21', 1 - 1, Uribe C. ⚽, Perez Azambuya E. M. (A),
- 28', 1 - 2, Sosa M. ⚽, Alarcon J. (A),
- 34', 1 - 3, Avila I. ⚽, Wisdom I. (A),
- 38', 1 - 4, Wisdom I. ⚽, Avila I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Uribe C. ↓, Correa Flores C. A. ↑,
- 46', Falconi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 50', Pasquini N. 🟨,
- 56', Sosa M. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 58', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 64', Moretti J. ↓, Lora F. ↑,
- 65', Tamariz A. 🟨,
- 66', Medina F. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
- 69', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
- 72', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
- 79', Avila I. ↓, Mendoza Cornejo F. G. ↑,
- 79', Diaz L. ↓, Posito Olazabal A. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho
42.3% | Draw
27.5% | Sporting Cristal
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayacucho that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.85) |
3.46 ↓
(3.65) |
3.09 ↑
(2.25) |
5.1%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ayacucho: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ayacucho will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 0.
- Ayacucho is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sporting Cristal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Ayacucho: Ganoza M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Pretell J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 21:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Sporting Cristal?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Ayacucho?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
05.10.2022
Ayacucho
-
Sporting Cristal
0:1
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
