Ayr United vs Inverness – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media, BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport

Match Stats


Yellow cards
2	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Alonge J. ⚽, Longstaff L. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Finney G. ⚽, McKenzie M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bonnar J. ↓, Dick L. ↑,
57', McMann S. 🟨,
59', MacIntyre O. 🟨,
65', Bannigan S. 🟨,
72', McKay B. ↓, Sole L. ↑,
72', Longstaff L. ↓, Bavidge A. ↑,
74', Bannigan S. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,
79', Wotherspoon D. ↓, Stewart A. ↑,
80', Oakley G. ↓, Want S. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Alonge J. ⚽, MacIntyre O. (A),
85', Finney G. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
90', Mackinnon A. ↓, Zimba C. ↑,
90+4', Stewart A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Ayr United
34.6%

Draw
28.1%

Inverness
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.7%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inverness, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ayr United - Inverness Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.34)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	2.45 ↓ (2.68)	10.1% (10.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Ayr United - Inverness?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Inverness will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Inverness (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Inverness (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 3.
Recent performances by Ayr have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Inverness is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Inverness?

Ayr United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Inverness won against Ayr United?

Inverness has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Inverness were as follows:

16.03.2024 Inverness - Ayr United 1:2

06.01.2024 Ayr United - Inverness 1:3

11.11.2023 Inverness - Ayr United 3:1

12.08.2023 Ayr United - Inverness 1:0

05.05.2023 Inverness - Ayr United 1:2

Latest results of Ayr United

21.02.2026 Ayr United - Ross County 0:0 ✺

17.02.2026 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 3:4 ✺

31.01.2026 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Dundee United - Ayr United 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Inverness

21.02.2026 Inverness - Stenhousemuir 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Hamilton Academical - Inverness 0:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Inverness - East Fife 3:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Queen of the South - Inverness 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Inverness - Stenhousemuir 1:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Arbroath	Kelty Hearts	3 : 2
2	Elgin City	East Fife	2 : 3
3	Alloa	Airdrieonians	2 : 3
4	Montrose	Spartans	2 : 1
5	Queen's Park	Clyde	2 : 1
6	Forfar Athletic	Edinburgh City	2 : 1
7	Raith	Hamilton	5 : 2
8	Queen of South	Dunfermline	4 : 3
9	Hearts B	St Johnstone	0 : 1
10	Ross County	Celtic B	4 : 0
11	Ayr	Peterhead	2 : 1
12	East Kilbride	Stranraer	1 : 4
13	Cove Rangers	Partick Thistle	1 : 2
14	Dumbarton	Inverness	0 : 9
15	Stirling	Morton	3 : 2
16	Stenhousemuir	Annan	2 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Arbroath	East Fife	3 : 0
2	Airdrieonians	Montrose	3 : 1
3	Queen's Park	Forfar Athletic	2 : 0
4	Raith	Queen of South	1 : 0
5	St Johnstone	Ross County	2 : 0
6	Ayr	Stranraer	4 : 1
7	Partick Thistle	Inverness	3 : 4
8	Stirling	Stenhousemuir	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Arbroath	Airdrieonians	2 : 3
2	Queen's Park	Raith	1 : 2
3	St Johnstone	Ayr	3 : 4
4	Inverness	Stenhousemuir	1 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Airdrieonians	Raith	1 : 2
2	Ayr	Inverness	1 : 2

Final

1

Raith

Inverness