Result
1:4
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.51 | 2.58 |
Ball Possession |
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40% | 60% |
Total shots |
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6 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 1 |
Passes |
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81% (297/367) | 88% (489/555) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.51 | 2.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.66 | 3.58 |
Total shots |
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6 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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7 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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7 | 11 |
Passes |
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81% (297/367) | 88% (489/555) |
Long passes |
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46% (21/46) | 54% (25/46) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (54/83) | 75% (140/186) |
Crosses |
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18% (2/11) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.26 | 1.73 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 11 |
Fouls |
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11 | 7 |
Tackles |
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44% (4/9) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
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22 | 37 |
Clearances |
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8 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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3.58 | 0.66 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.42 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 21', Zulj P. 🟨,
- 27', Sataporn W. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Zulj P. (Pen),
- 40', 0 - 2, Mulic F. ⚽, Bunmathan T. (A),
- 45+4', 0 - 3, Mulic F. ⚽, Zulj R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zulj P. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
- 46', Zulj R. ↓, Causic G. ↑,
- 46', Pombuppha C. ↓, Laptrakul C. ↑,
- 46', Bunsan K. ↓, Conrado ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Islame Y. ⚽, Caique Lemes (A),
- 60', Chotmuangpak T. ↓, Mueanta S. ↑,
- 64', Mueanta S. ↓, Charoenrattanapirom P. ↑,
- 69', Worasut N. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑,
- 77', Mulic F. ↓, Sukjitthammakul P. ↑,
- 82', Biaothungoi P. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 4, Dougall K. ⚽, Causic G. (A),
- 87', Conrado 🟨,
- 88', Diego Carioca ↓, Dechmitr S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayutthaya United 8.5% | Draw 12.1% | Buriram United 79.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayutthaya United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buriram United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ayutthaya United - Buriram United Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
11.65 ↑ (6.89) |
8.2 ↑ (5.34) |
1.25 ↓ (1.32) |
0.6% (9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In recent matches, Ayutthaya United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Buriram is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ayutthaya United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Buriram is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
- Including home match between the teams, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Buriram United?
Ayutthaya United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Ayutthaya United?
Buriram United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayutthaya United - Buriram United were as follows:
27.07.2025
Ayutthaya United
-
Buriram United
0:3
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Latest results of Buriram United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Buriram | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 18 |
2 | Ratchaburi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
3 | Bangkok Utd | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
4 | Pathum United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Chiangrai Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Muang Thong Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
7 | Rayong FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
8 | Port MTI FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Kanchanaburi | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
11 | Prachuap | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Sukhothai | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Ayutthaya Utd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Lamphun Warrior | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Chonburi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Uthai Thani | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2