Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/372) | 76% (207/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/372) | 76% (207/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (79/116) | 66% (57/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Moraksa R. 🟨,
- 22', Tamma C. 🟨,
- 25', Darko R. 🟨,
- 29', Wellington Priori 🟨,
- 31', Islame Y. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Aon-pean V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tamma C. ↓, Bunsan K. ↑,
- 55', Moraksa R. ↓, Queven ↑,
- 67', van Lingen O. ↓, Arango E. ↑,
- 67', Promsrikaew C. ↓, Kraisorn A. ↑,
- 75', Aon-pean V. ↓, Pombuppha C. ↑,
- 83', Hwang Hyun-Soo 🟨,
- 86', Biaothungoi P. ↓, Changthong A. ↑,
- 86', Baek Sung-Dong ↓, Leddel N. ↑,
- 90', Arango E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Channgom S. ↓, Sujarit T. ↑,
- 90+1', Arango E. ↓, Eisa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chonburi
44.7% | Draw
27% | Ayutthaya United
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Chonburi - Ayutthaya United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.03) |
3.34 ↓
(3.45) |
3.19 ↓
(3.27) |
10.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chonburi - Ayutthaya United?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Chonburi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ayutthaya United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chonburi (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
- Chonburi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ayutthaya United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chonburi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Chonburi could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Chonburi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Chonburi won against Ayutthaya United?
Chonburi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Chonburi?
Ayutthaya United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chonburi - Ayutthaya United were as follows:
25.10.2025
Ayutthaya United
-
Chonburi
1:2
02.02.2025
Chonburi
-
Ayutthaya United
2:2
21.09.2024
Ayutthaya United
-
Chonburi
1:1
Latest results of Chonburi
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
