Nakhon Ratchasima vs Ayutthaya United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima).

Thai League 1 - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.77	2.45
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
15	21
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
10	9
Passes
74% (187/254)	76% (268/351)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77	2.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.32	0.87
Total shots
15	21
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
8	9
Blocked Shots
4	6
Shots inside the Box
7	14
Shots outside the Box
8	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
10	9
Touches in opposition box
22	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
14	14
Passes
74% (187/254)	76% (268/351)
Long passes
52% (26/50)	52% (29/56)
Passes in final third
55% (50/91)	66% (83/126)
Crosses
22% (6/27)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	1.49
Throw-ins
21	18
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
84% (16/19)	94% (17/18)
Duels won
46	51
Clearances
28	33
Interceptions
5	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.87	0.32
Goals prevented
-0.13	0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Hanrattana P. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Hwang Hyun-Soo ⚽, Worasut N. (A),
41', Bunsan K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jeenthai P. ↓, Mamadou B. ↑,
46', Brandao ↓, Dennis Murillo ↑,
46', Bunsan K. ↓, Kamkla B. ↑,
59', Doloh A. 🟨,
63', Wendel ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
66', Laptrakul C. ↓, Pombuppha C. ↑,
67', Hanrattana P. ↓, Paso S. ↑,
69', Makemusik W. ↓, Naengwongsa N. ↑,
79', Naengwongsa N. 🟨,
80', Phimpsang C. ↓, Darbellay D. ↑,
81', Conrado ↓, Diego Carioca ↑,
81', Worasut N. ↓, Yaidee K. ↑,
90+7', Jaiphet A. 🟨,
90+8', Mamadou B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nakhon Ratchasima
37.8%

Draw
27.3%

Ayutthaya United
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.32)	3.39 ↑ (3.21)	2.65 ↓ (2.85)	8.1% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ayutthaya United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Ayutthaya United (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Ayutthaya United (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ayutthaya United (1.80) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Ayutthaya United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ayutthaya United (votes: 7 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 11).
Nakhon Ratchasima has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ayutthaya United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ayutthaya United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Ayutthaya United?

Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?

Ayutthaya United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United were as follows:

17.03.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United 1:0

26.11.2023 Ayutthaya United - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:2

Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima

08.11.2025 Chiangrai United - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Buriram United - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Prachuap - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima - Thai Port 0:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Bangkok United - Nakhon Ratchasima 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Ayutthaya United

09.11.2025 Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi 1:3 ✺

01.11.2025 Kanchanaburi - Ayutthaya United 1:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Ayutthaya United - Chonburi 1:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Pathum United - Ayutthaya United 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai 1:1 ✺

Thai League 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram	21	17	2	2	57:20	37	53
2	Port MTI FC	21	12	3	6	42:19	23	39
3	Ratchaburi	20	12	3	5	32:18	14	39
4	Bangkok Utd	20	11	6	3	32:20	12	39
5	Pathum United	21	10	6	5	31:21	10	36
6	Rayong FC	21	7	7	7	32:29	3	28
7	Prachuap	21	6	10	5	27:27	0	28
8	Ayutthaya Utd	21	6	8	7	28:31	-3	26
9	Uthai Thani	21	6	7	8	33:34	-1	25
10	Chonburi	21	6	7	8	25:27	-2	25
11	Chiangrai Utd	21	5	10	6	24:31	-7	25
12	Sukhothai	21	4	9	8	15:30	-15	21
13	Lamphun Warrior	21	3	11	7	28:38	-10	20
14	Kanchanaburi	22	2	10	10	22:40	-18	16
15	Muang Thong Utd	21	3	5	13	19:42	-23	14
16	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	20	3	4	13	13:33	-20	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2