Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (272/363) | 65% (142/220) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (272/363) | 65% (142/220) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 30% (20/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (70/114) | 60% (45/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Hanrattana P. ⚽, Mita H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Islame Y. ↓, Aon-pean V. ↑,
- 57', Laptrakul C. 🟨,
- 57', Lalic N. 🟨,
- 65', Worasut N. ↓, Kasemkulwirai K. ↑,
- 65', Tamma C. ↓, Kamkla B. ↑,
- 74', James L. 🟨,
- 76', Dennis Murillo ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
- 78', Biaothungoi P. 🟨,
- 87', Hanrattana P. ↓, Becerra J. ↑,
- 87', Biaothungoi P. ↓, Dechmitr S. ↑,
- 90+1', Wellington Priori 🟨,
- 90+6', Lalic N. ↓, Nuengprakaew W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayutthaya United
56.6% | Draw
24% | Nakhon Ratchasima
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Ayutthaya United - Nakhon Ratchasima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.68) |
3.81 ↑
(3.65) |
4.74 ↑
(4.33) |
9.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
- Ayutthaya United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nakhon Ratchasima has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ayutthaya United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ayutthaya United is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ayutthaya United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Ayutthaya United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Ayutthaya United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayutthaya United - Nakhon Ratchasima were as follows:
23.11.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Ayutthaya United
0:1
17.03.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Ayutthaya United
1:0
26.11.2023
Ayutthaya United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:2
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 69:23 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Bangkok Utd | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:36 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 26 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 32:43 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 18:38 | -20 | 24 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
