Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaRing
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV5
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
67.1%
Draw
20.1%
AZ Alkmaar
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 21.2% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 20.3% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Aston Villa - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.45)
    4.72
    (4.39)
    7.27
    (6.39)
    5.5%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 31 - 88.6%). AZ will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 78.1%99.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • In this match Aston Villa is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Knee Injury) Hause K. (Knee Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Ramsey J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in AZ: Lahdo M. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Duran J. (Toe Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Schouten L. (Injury) de Wit M. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    26.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Aston Villa 1:4
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    04.11.2023 Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    26.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Aston Villa 1:4
    21.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen 3:0
    08.10.2023 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    05.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Legia Warsaw 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2