Result
07/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Aston Villa
52.3% | Draw
25.8% | Nottingham Forest
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83
(1.83) |
3.76 ↑
(3.75) |
4.33 ↑
(4.18) |
4.3%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest?
Users Predictions:
Aston Villa will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
- Aston Villa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nottingham is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Nottingham has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Aston Villa?
Nottingham Forest has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
30.04.2026
Nottingham Forest
-
Aston Villa
1:0
12.04.2026
Nottingham Forest
-
Aston Villa
1:1
03.01.2026
Aston Villa
-
Nottingham Forest
3:1
05.04.2025
Aston Villa
-
Nottingham Forest
2:1
14.12.2024
Nottingham Forest
-
Aston Villa
2:1
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Betis (4) | 4 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Freiburg (7) | Celta Vigo (16) | 3 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 3 | FC Porto (5) | Nottingham (13) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Bologna (10) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 4, 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Freiburg (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Nottingham (13) | Aston Villa (2) | 1 : 0 |
Final
