Legia Warsaw vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/12/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
32.1%
Draw
28.1%
AZ Alkmaar
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 26.5% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 26.6% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.55)
    3.36
    (3.5)
    2.38
    (2.5)
    5.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). AZ will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 46.6%82%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Legia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • AZ is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Recently AZ have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Legia: Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Pekhart T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in AZ: Lahdo M. (Injury) Mijnans S. (Knee Injury) Ryan M. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: de Wit M. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Legia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    05.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Legia Warsaw 1:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    09.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 4:1
    06.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Abandoned
    03.12.2023 Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    26.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2