Result
1:3
17/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 5
- Referee: Ivkovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (345/408) | 79% (233/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.13 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.86 | 2.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (345/408) | 79% (233/294) |
| Long passes |
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| 46% (21/46) | 55% (30/55) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 73% (79/108) | 66% (46/70) |
| Crosses |
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| 14% (2/14) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.51 | 1.70 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
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| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 69% (11/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
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| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
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| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.74 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.26 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Todoroski A. ⚽,
- 40', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 1, Knezevic N. ⚽,
- 49', Knezevic N. 🟨,
- 63', Scepovic S. ↓, Enem J. ↑,
- 63', Singh S. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 64', Jovanovic S. ↓, Conraad T. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Enem J. ⚽, Despotovski S. (A),
- 70', Despotovski S. 🟨,
- 77', Knezevic N. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
- 77', Mezei S. ↓, Krstic V. ↑,
- 78', Mboungou V. ↓, Petrovic B. ↑,
- 83', Momcilovic M. ↓, Dembele I. ↑,
- 86', Dembele I. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 3, Enem J. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
- 88', Jovanovic S. ↓, Savic D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bačka Topola
50.9% | Draw
26.1% | OFK Beograd
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.65) |
3.59 ↓
(3.8) |
4.06 ↓
(4.35) |
6.9%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bačka Topola (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Bačka Topola will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- Bačka Topola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- OFK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Bačka Topola is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bačka Topola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against OFK Beograd?
Bačka Topola has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Bačka Topola?
OFK Beograd has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd were as follows:
17.05.2025
Bačka Topola
-
OFK Beograd
3:2
23.12.2024
OFK Beograd
-
Bačka Topola
2:2
16.08.2024
Bačka Topola
-
OFK Beograd
0:1
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30:5 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Partizan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | TSC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mladost | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Javor | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Radnik | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Napredak | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Sp. Subotica | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
