Bačka Topola vs OFK Beograd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Serbian Superliga Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd
Result
1:3
17/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 5
  • Referee: Ivkovic M. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.10
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
85% (345/408)79% (233/294)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.862.74
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
157
Passes
85% (345/408)79% (233/294)
Long passes
46% (21/46)55% (30/55)
Passes in final third
73% (79/108)66% (46/70)
Crosses
14% (2/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.70
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
815
Tackles
69% (11/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
1530
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
2.740.86
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Todoroski A. ,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Knezevic N. ,
  • 49', Knezevic N. 🟨,
  • 63', Scepovic S. , Enem J. ,
  • 63', Singh S. , Pantovic M. ,
  • 64', Jovanovic S. , Conraad T. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Enem J. , Despotovski S. (A),
  • 70', Despotovski S. 🟨,
  • 77', Knezevic N. , Cvetkovic A. ,
  • 77', Mezei S. , Krstic V. ,
  • 78', Mboungou V. , Petrovic B. ,
  • 83', Momcilovic M. , Dembele I. ,
  • 86', Dembele I. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Enem J. , Diogo Bezerra (A),
  • 88', Jovanovic S. , Savic D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bačka Topola
50.9%
Draw
26.1%
OFK Beograd
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 23.9% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 22.7% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.65)
    3.59
    (3.8)
    4.06
    (4.35)
    6.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bačka Topola (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Bačka Topola will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
    • Bačka Topola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • OFK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Bačka Topola is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bačka Topola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd 3:2
    23.12.2024 OFK Beograd - Bačka Topola 2:2
    16.08.2024 Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd 0:1
    Latest results of Bačka Topola
    Latest results of OFK Beograd
    Serbian Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Partizan651019:61316
    2Crvena zvezda550021:31815
    3Vojvodina642011:4714
    4Zeleznicar Pancevo733111:5612
    5Cukaricki63129:9010
    6OFK Beograd731311:15-410
    7Novi Pazar622210:12-28
    8TSC72237:9-28
    9Napredak71427:11-47
    10Mladost71426:10-47
    11IMT Novi Beograd72149:17-87
    12Radnicki 192361325:7-26
    13Sp. Subotica71338:11-36
    14Radnicki Nis71249:13-45
    15Javor60426:11-54
    16Radnik71154:10-64

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