Result
0:1
21/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 20
- Referee: Tomic P. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (390/478) | 69% (191/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (390/478) | 69% (191/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 36% (23/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (67/112) | 60% (53/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Todoroski A. ⚽, Jovanovic S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Addo H. ↓, Knezevic N. ↑,
- 55', Capan L. 🟨,
- 57', Sljivic J. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
- 67', Stancic A. ↓, Tomovic S. ↑,
- 67', Savic D. ↓, Jovicic B. ↑,
- 72', Momcilovic M. 🟨,
- 78', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
- 81', Jovanovic S. ↓, Krstic V. ↑,
- 82', Todoroski A. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
- 85', Mboungou V. 🟨,
- 85', Djermanovic A. ↓, Kabic U. ↑,
- 90+3', Lazic U. 🟨,
- 90+3', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 90+3', Gobeljic M. ↓, Lukovic S. ↑,
- 90+5', Petrovic B. ↓, Milosavic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
OFK Beograd 37.4% | Draw 26.7% | Bačka Topola 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
OFK Beograd - Bačka Topola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↑ (2.18) |
3.43 ↑ (3.4) |
2.56 ↓ (2.97) |
9% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Bačka Topola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, OFK has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, OFK won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, OFK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Bačka Topola?
OFK Beograd has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against OFK Beograd?
Bačka Topola has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFK Beograd - Bačka Topola were as follows:
17.08.2025
Bačka Topola
-
OFK Beograd
1:3
17.05.2025
Bačka Topola
-
OFK Beograd
3:2
23.12.2024
OFK Beograd
-
Bačka Topola
2:2
16.08.2024
Bačka Topola
-
OFK Beograd
0:1
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 96:26 | 70 | 82 |
| 2 | Partizan | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 64:43 | 21 | 65 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:34 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 48 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Radnik | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )