Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons
Result
1:1
10/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Reed L. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Logan N. ,

Chances of winning


Afan Lido
23.3%
Draw
26.6%
Baglan Dragons
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 25.3% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 24.3% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afan Lido's form might have worsened.
  • Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baglan Dragons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afan Lido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baglan Dragons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (2.77)
    3.5
    (3.57)
    1.86
    (2.16)
    7.6%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Recently, Baglan Dragons has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Baglan Dragons is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido 1:1
    04.10.2024 Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons 0:3
    12.01.2024 Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons 0:2
    21.10.2023 Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido 0:1
    21.07.2023 Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido 1:3
    Latest results of Afan Lido
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caerau Ely1072123:91423
    2Cambrian United1071223:51822
    3Trefelin1063122:81421
    4Cardiff Draconians1052313:8517
    5Carmarthen Town1045111:6517
    6Aberystwyth952211:8317
    7Ammanford1045110:8217
    8Newport City1044217:13416
    9Trethomas Bluebirds1025315:18-311
    10Llantwit Major1024411:13-210
    11Baglan Dragons1016311:1109
    12Pontypridd1022613:19-68
    13Afan Lido1022610:19-98
    14Treowen1013613:25-126
    15Ynyshir Albions91357:20-136
    16Cwmbran Celtic100377:27-203

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