Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 22

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Cawley S. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Davies J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 🟥,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Roberts S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', 3 - 1, Samson H. ,

Chances of winning


Cardiff Draconians
47.2%
Draw
26.5%
Baglan Dragons
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 25.8% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 25.2% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.87)
    3.44
    (3.61)
    3.46
    (3.79)
    10%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cardiff Draconians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cardiff Draconians is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff Draconians won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Baglan Dragons - Cardiff Draconians 0:0
    Latest results of Cardiff Draconians
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin30253283:176678
    2Cambrian United30244275:205576
    3Ammanford30179449:262360
    4Caerau Ely30176766:343257
    5Carmarthen Town301112745:38745
    6Aberystwyth301351235:38-344
    7Cardiff Draconians301241450:48240
    8Llantwit Major309101144:47-337
    9Treowen301071351:63-1237
    10Newport City309101136:48-1237
    11Pontypridd30971446:51-534
    12Afan Lido30931832:57-2530
    13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:62-1729
    14Baglan Dragons305101526:52-2625
    15Ynyshir Albions30581727:56-2923
    16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:78-5310

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