Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Bevan L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Logan N. ,

Chances of winning


Baglan Dragons
35.2%
Draw
27%
Llantwit Major
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 26.6% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 25.7% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Baglan Dragons have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.59)
    3.36
    (3.43)
    2.4
    (2.38)
    10.2%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).
    • Recent form of Baglan Dragons has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Llantwit Major has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons 0:1
    30.11.2024 Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major 0:0
    29.03.2024 Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major 0:0
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Latest results of Llantwit Major
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United1181227:72025
    2Caerau Ely1072123:91423
    3Trefelin1063122:81421
    4Cardiff Draconians1162316:8820
    5Carmarthen Town1155112:6620
    6Ammanford1155112:9320
    7Newport City1154218:13519
    8Aberystwyth1052311:9217
    9Llantwit Major1134413:14-113
    10Trethomas Bluebirds1125415:21-611
    11Baglan Dragons1116414:15-19
    12Treowen1123617:28-119
    13Pontypridd1122715:23-88
    14Afan Lido1122710:20-108
    15Ynyshir Albions101368:22-146
    16Cwmbran Celtic110388:29-213

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