Result
1:2
06/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Sage E. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Legavec A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 2, Dubjaga A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newport City
57.4% | Draw
23.9% | Baglan Dragons
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Newport City - Baglan Dragons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
3.8 ↑
(3.79) |
4.86 ↓
(4.99) |
10%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).
- Recent performances by Newport City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Baglan Dragons is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Newport City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Baglan Dragons has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Newport City is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Baglan Dragons?
Newport City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baglan Dragons won against Newport City?
Baglan Dragons has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport City - Baglan Dragons were as follows:
17.08.2025
Baglan Dragons
-
Newport City
3:3
20.07.2025
Newport City
-
Baglan Dragons
2:0
25.03.2025
Newport City
-
Baglan Dragons
1:0
09.11.2024
Baglan Dragons
-
Newport City
2:2
Latest results of Newport City
Latest results of Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Treowen | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 46:51 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Afan Lido | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
