Pontypridd United vs Baglan Dragons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Angel L. ,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Angel L. ,

Chances of winning


Pontypridd United
47.1%
Draw
27%
Baglan Dragons
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 26.3% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25.3% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.96)
    3.37
    (3.42)
    3.51
    (3.26)
    9.9%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
    • Pontypridd has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Baglan Dragons is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Pontypridd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Baglan Dragons has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Pontypridd is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pontypridd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Pontypridd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United 3:0
    17.01.2025 Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons 1:0
    26.10.2024 Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United 2:2
    Latest results of Pontypridd United
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United ✔ 26213268:185066
    2Trefelin ✔ 26213261:154666
    3Caerau Ely27155760:332750
    4Ammanford26148438:241450
    5Carmarthen Town271012537:33442
    6Aberystwyth261331032:32042
    7Llantwit Major2799940:38236
    8Newport City27810935:39-434
    9Treowen27971146:51-534
    10Cardiff Draconians251021336:39-332
    11Pontypridd26851342:46-429
    12Trethomas Bluebirds27681338:55-1726
    13Afan Lido27731726:52-2624
    14Baglan Dragons26581325:42-1723
    15Ynyshir Albions26561524:48-2421
    16Cwmbran Celtic24061818:61-436

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier