Botafogo RJ vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Botafogo RJ - Bahia
01/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
47.5%
Draw
28.5%
Bahia
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 28.6% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 28% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Botafogo RJ - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.95)
    3.39
    (3.25)
    3.95
    (3.9)
    4.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
    • Botafogo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bahia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Botafogo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Bahia were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    25.08.2024 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    07.08.2024 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 1:1
    05.05.2024 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 1:2
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    24.09.2025 Grêmio - Botafogo RJ 1:1
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    14.09.2025 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1
    20.09.2025 Ceará - Bahia 1:1
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    10.09.2025 Fluminense - Bahia 2:0
    06.09.2025 Bahia - Confiança 5:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ23156248:113751
    2Cruzeiro24155439:172250
    3Palmeiras22154336:181849
    4Mirassol23119341:231842
    5Botafogo RJ24117635:181740
    6Bahia23107631:28337
    7Sao Paulo2498727:24335
    8Fluminense2294926:29-331
    9Bragantino24941129:35-631
    10Corinthians2478924:29-529
    11Gremio2478924:30-629
    12Ceara2377922:23-128
    13Vasco24761136:35127
    14Internacional23761028:36-827
    15Santos23751122:32-1026
    16Atletico-MG2267921:26-525
    17Vitoria244101019:35-1622
    18Juventude23631419:45-2621
    19Fortaleza23461323:38-1518
    20Sport Recife22281216:34-1814

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet