Bahia vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Botafogo RJ
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.30
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
85% (361/425)85% (387/455)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.90
Total shots
916
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
811
Passes
85% (361/425)85% (387/455)
Long passes
39% (17/44)53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
72% (71/98)66% (81/122)
Crosses
6% (1/17)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.87
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
118
Tackles
69% (11/16)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3638
Clearances
3123
Interceptions
189
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.901.65
Goals prevented
0.900.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
  • 31', Erick 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Cauly , Erick Pulga (A),
  • 45+3', Newton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Patrick de Paula , Alex Telles ,
  • 62', Everton Ribeiro , Ademir ,
  • 62', Caio Alexandre , Nicolas Acevedo ,
  • 62', Rodriguez L. , Willian Jose ,
  • 70', Gonzalo Mastriani , Rwan Cruz ,
  • 71', Cuiabano , Nathan Fernandes ,
  • 71', Vitinho , Ponte M. ,
  • 81', Cauly , Michel Araujo ,
  • 82', Artur , Jeffinho ,
  • 83', Ponte M. 🟨,
  • 84', Erick Pulga , Gabriel Xavier ,
  • 86', Ademir 🟨,
  • 90+9', Marcal 🟨,
  • 90+9', John Victor 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
46.7%
Draw
28.3%
Botafogo RJ
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.2% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 27.9% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.
  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bahia - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.28)
    3.36
    (3.35)
    3.78
    (3.09)
    5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
    • Bahia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Arias S. (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ronaldo Strada (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A. (Yellow Cards) Bastos (Knee Injury) Gregore (Yellow Cards) Marcal (Lacking Match Fitness) Nathan Fernandes (Thigh Injury) Rodriguez S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Barboza A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    07.08.2024 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 1:1
    05.05.2024 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 1:2
    27.08.2023 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 3:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    24.04.2025 Bahia - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    17.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 3:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Ceara1553714:15-118
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet