Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (361/425) | 85% (387/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (361/425) | 85% (387/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 53% (27/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (71/98) | 66% (81/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 14% (4/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
- 31', Erick 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Cauly ⚽, Erick Pulga (A),
- 45+3', Newton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Patrick de Paula ↓, Alex Telles ↑,
- 62', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 62', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 62', Rodriguez L. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 70', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
- 71', Cuiabano ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 71', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 81', Cauly ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 82', Artur ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 83', Ponte M. 🟨,
- 84', Erick Pulga ↓, Gabriel Xavier ↑,
- 86', Ademir 🟨,
- 90+9', Marcal 🟨,
- 90+9', John Victor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
46.7% | Draw
28.3% | Botafogo RJ
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bahia - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.28) |
3.36 ↑
(3.35) |
3.78 ↑
(3.09) |
5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- Bahia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bahia: Arias S.
(Inactive)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A.
(Yellow Cards)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Gregore
(Yellow Cards)
Marcal
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nathan Fernandes
(Thigh Injury)
Rodriguez S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Barboza A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Botafogo RJ?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Bahia?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
25.08.2024
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
07.08.2024
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
30.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
1:1
05.05.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
1:2
27.08.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
3:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
