Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.46 | 1.30 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 3 |
Passes |
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85% (361/425) | 85% (387/455) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.46 | 1.30 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.65 | 0.90 |
Total shots |
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9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 11 |
Passes |
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85% (361/425) | 85% (387/455) |
Long passes |
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39% (17/44) | 53% (27/51) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (71/98) | 66% (81/122) |
Crosses |
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6% (1/17) | 14% (4/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.16 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 22 |
Fouls |
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11 | 8 |
Tackles |
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69% (11/16) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
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36 | 38 |
Clearances |
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31 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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18 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.90 | 1.65 |
Goals prevented |
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0.90 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
- 31', Erick 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Cauly ⚽, Erick Pulga (A),
- 45+3', Newton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Patrick de Paula ↓, Alex Telles ↑,
- 62', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 62', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 62', Rodriguez L. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 70', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
- 71', Cuiabano ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 71', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 81', Cauly ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 82', Artur ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 83', Ponte M. 🟨,
- 84', Erick Pulga ↓, Gabriel Xavier ↑,
- 86', Ademir 🟨,
- 90+9', Marcal 🟨,
- 90+9', John Victor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia 46.7% | Draw 28.3% | Botafogo RJ 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bahia - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.28) |
3.36 ↑ (3.35) |
3.78 ↑ (3.09) |
5% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- Bahia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bahia: Arias S.
(Inactive)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A.
(Yellow Cards)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Gregore
(Yellow Cards)
Marcal
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nathan Fernandes
(Thigh Injury)
Rodriguez S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Barboza A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Botafogo RJ?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Bahia?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
25.08.2024
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
07.08.2024
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
30.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
1:1
05.05.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
1:2
27.08.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
3:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet