Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/420) | 83% (336/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/420) | 83% (336/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 52% (24/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (98/139) | 71% (57/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Luciano Juba ↓, Ze Guilherme ↑,
- 27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 40', Arias S. 🟨,
- 45+4', Cuiabano 🟨,
- 45+4', Sanabria M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 46', Kayky ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Jeffinho ⚽, Cuiabano (A),
- 55', Ramos S. ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 55', 2 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽,
- 59', Sanabria M. 🟨,
- 61', Ancelotti D. 🟨,
- 65', Cuiabano ↓, David Ricardo ↑,
- 65', Willian Jose ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 70', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 72', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 76', Jeffinho ↓, Artur ↑,
- 76', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 80', Kaio ↓, Gabriel Bahia ↑,
- 80', Newton ↓, Allan ↑,
- 87', Allan 🟨,
- 90', David Ricardo 🟨,
- 90+4', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
49.8% | Draw
27.6% | Bahia
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Botafogo RJ - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.95) |
3.44 ↑
(3.25) |
4.16 ↑
(3.9) |
5.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
- In recent matches, Botafogo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bahia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barrera J.
(International duty)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Correa J.
(Inactive)
Danilo
(Inactive)
Matheus Martins
(Yellow Cards)
Montoro A.
(International duty)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Caio Alexandre
(Hamstring Injury)
David Duarte
(Inactive)
Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Erick Pulga
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Paulo
(Knee Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Nicolas Acevedo
(Yellow Cards)
Ruan Pablo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Nicolas Acevedo
(Injury)
Sanabria M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Bahia?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Botafogo RJ?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Bahia were as follows:
03.05.2025
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
25.08.2024
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
07.08.2024
Bahia
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
30.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
1:1
05.05.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Bahia
1:2
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
