Result
09/05/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bahia
42.3% | Draw
29.3% | Cruzeiro
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1%)
Bahia - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.19) |
3.19 ↑
(3.13) |
3.3 ↑
(3.23) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.
- Recent form of Bahia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cruzeiro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Cruzeiro?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Bahia?
Cruzeiro has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Cruzeiro were as follows:
15.09.2025
Bahia
-
Cruzeiro
1:2
17.04.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Bahia
3:0
18.10.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Bahia
1:1
23.06.2024
Bahia
-
Cruzeiro
4:1
25.10.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Bahia
3:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
