Result
1:1
28/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (293/342) | 87% (382/440) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (293/342) | 87% (382/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (25/42) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (72/93) | 69% (53/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Ademir ⚽, Willian Jose (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Gabriel Taliari ⚽, Marcelo Hermes (A),
- 37', Jean Lucas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jean Lucas ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 53', Rafael Bilu ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
- 56', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
- 59', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Erick ↑,
- 63', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
- 69', Nene ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 69', Reginaldo ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
- 71', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
- 71', Erick Pulga ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 78', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
- 85', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
- 85', Luan Freitas ↓, Enio ↑,
- 85', Caique Goncalves ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 86', Willian Jose ↓, Cauly ↑,
Chances of winning
Juventude
28.8% | Draw
28.4% | Bahia
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Juventude - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↓
(3.38) |
3.37 ↑
(3.28) |
2.23 ↓
(2.27) |
4.6%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juventude - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 9.6% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 20%). Bahia (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Juventude (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Juventude (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Juventude (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Juventude (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Juventude (3.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 6 - 60%). Bahia (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bahia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Juventude: Angel W.
(Inactive)
Gilberto
(Muscle Injury)
Igor Formiga
(Red Card)
Peixoto
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: David Duarte
(Injury)
Ramos S.
(Red Card)
Ruan Pablo
(International duty)
Sanabria M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Bahia?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Juventude?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Bahia were as follows:
27.07.2025
Bahia
-
Juventude
3:0
09.11.2024
Juventude
-
Bahia
2:1
04.07.2024
Bahia
-
Juventude
2:0
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
