Result
1:1
28/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (293/342) | 87% (382/440) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (293/342) | 87% (382/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (25/42) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (72/93) | 69% (53/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Ademir ⚽, Willian Jose (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Gabriel Taliari ⚽, Marcelo Hermes (A),
- 37', Jean Lucas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jean Lucas ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 53', Rafael Bilu ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
- 56', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
- 59', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Erick ↑,
- 63', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
- 69', Nene ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 69', Reginaldo ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
- 71', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
- 71', Erick Pulga ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 78', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
- 85', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
- 85', Luan Freitas ↓, Enio ↑,
- 85', Caique Goncalves ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 86', Willian Jose ↓, Cauly ↑,
Chances of winning
Juventude
28.8% | Draw
28.4% | Bahia
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Juventude - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↓
(3.38) |
3.37 ↑
(3.28) |
2.23 ↓
(2.27) |
4.6%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juventude - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 25%). Bahia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bahia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Juventude: Angel W.
(Inactive)
Gilberto
(Muscle Injury)
Igor Formiga
(Red Card)
Peixoto
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: David Duarte
(Injury)
Ramos S.
(Red Card)
Ruan Pablo
(International duty)
Sanabria M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Bahia?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Juventude?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Bahia were as follows:
27.07.2025
Bahia
-
Juventude
3:0
09.11.2024
Juventude
-
Bahia
2:1
04.07.2024
Bahia
-
Juventude
2:0
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 48:39 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Bahia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50:44 | 6 | 60 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 54:36 | 18 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Bragantino ✔ | 37 | 14 | 6 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 48 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41:46 | -5 | 46 |
| 11 | Gremio | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 46 |
| 12 | Vasco | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 55:55 | 0 | 45 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 45 |
| 14 | Santos | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 15 | Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 33:37 | -4 | 43 |
| 16 | Fortaleza | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 43 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 42 |
| 18 | Internacional | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 41 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 34:68 | -34 | 34 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 37 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 28:71 | -43 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
