Retrô Brasil vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata).

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	1.33
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
6	17
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	11
Passes
71% (160/224)	85% (410/480)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.34	0.93
Total shots
6	17
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	9
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
2	10
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	11
Touches in opposition box
10	37
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
8	13
Passes
71% (160/224)	85% (410/480)
Long passes
42% (23/55)	47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
68% (58/85)	78% (138/176)
Crosses
4% (1/24)	28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.20	1.84
Throw-ins
28	20
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
67% (10/15)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
37	51
Clearances
28	33
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.93	0.34
Goals prevented
0.93	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Tales ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vagner Love ↓, Mascote ↑,
51', Franco R. 🟨,
57', David Duarte 🟨,
61', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
61', Cauly ↓, Ademir ↑,
67', Junior Fialho ↓, Mike ↑,
75', Diego Guerra ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
75', Danillo ↓, Eduardo ↑,
76', Caio Alexandre ↓, Rezende ↑,
76', Rodriguez L. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
77', Michel Araujo 🟨,
85', Kayky ↓, Tiago ↑,
87', Vagner Love 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Retrô Brasil
18.4%

Draw
25.1%

Bahia
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

28.3%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28.1%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Retrô Brasil - Bahia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (4)	3.73 ↑ (3.33)	1.67 ↓ (1.96)	6.5% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 2-3. 2nd leg.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bahia is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Retrô: Bruno Marques (Injury) Denilson (Inactive) Fernandinho (Injury) Paulo Ricardo (Inactive)
There will not play in Bahia: Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Thigh Injury) Fred Lippert (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Retrô Brasil won against Bahia?

Retrô Brasil has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Retrô Brasil?

Bahia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Retrô Brasil - Bahia were as follows:

30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2

Latest results of Retrô Brasil

03.08.2025 Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil 3:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Retrô Brasil - Ypiranga 0:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Brusque - Retrô Brasil 1:2 ✺

14.07.2025 Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Bahia

02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Bahia - Juventude 3:0 ✺

22.07.2025 América de Cali - Bahia 2:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Fortaleza - Bahia 1:1 ✺

Draw

2025

1/64-finals

1	Santos	Bye
4	Bye	CRB
5	Cruzeiro	Bye
7	Inter de Limeira	Vila Nova FC	0 : 1
8	Rio Branco-VN	Amazonas	1 : 0
9	Maringa FC	Juventude	1 : 0
10	Uniao Carmolandense	America RN	4 : 2
11	Tocantinopolis	Atletico-MG	0 : 2
12	Independencia	Manaus	1 : 2
13	Concordia	Ponte Preta	2 : 1
14	Portuguesa	Botafogo PB	1 : 2
16	Bye	Flamengo RJ
17	Operario VG	Sport Recife	1 : 0
18	Rio Branco ES	Novorizontino	1 : 3
20	Bye	Corinthians
21	Sergipe	Ceara	0 : 2
22	Parnahyba	Confianca	0 : 5
24	Bye	Palmeiras
25	Sao Paulo	Bye
27	Maranhao	Vitoria	0 : 1
28	Santa Cruz de Natal	Nautico	0 : 4
29	Trem	Brusque	0 : 2
30	Olaria	ABC	1 : 0
31	Pouso Alegre	Athletico-PR	0 : 2
32	Guarany de Bage	AE Altos	2 : 1
33	Tuna Luso	Sampaio Correa	1 : 0
34	Boavista	CSA	0 : 2
35	Sao Raimundo RR	Gremio	1 : 2
36	Barcelona	Athletic Club	1 : 2
37	Humaita	Operario-PR	0 : 1
38	CSE	Tombense	1 : 3
39	Uniao Rondonopolis	Vasco	0 : 3
40	Barcelona RO	Nova Iguacu	1 : 4
41	Botafogo RJ	Bye
43	Porto Velho	Cuiaba	1 : 0
44	Capital	Portuguesa RJ	1 : 0
45	Operario MS	Criciuma	0 : 1
46	GAS	Remo	0 : 4
47	Sousa	Bragantino	1 : 2
48	Oratorio	EC Sao Jose	1 : 3
49	Aguia De Maraba	Fluminense	0 : 8
50	Dourados	SER Caxias	0 : 2
51	Cascavel	America MG	1 : 0
52	Votuporanguense	Aparecidense	2 : 3
53	Internacional	Bye
55	Ceilandia	Coritiba	3 : 2
56	Maracana	Ferroviario	2 : 1
57	ASA	Atletico GO	1 : 2
58	Jequie	Retro	1 : 2
60	Bye	Fortaleza
61	Paysandu PA	Bye
64	Bye	Bahia

1/32-finals

1	Santos	Bye
2	Bye	CRB
3	Cruzeiro	Bye
4	Vila Nova FC	Rio Branco-VN	6 : 0
5	Maringa FC	Uniao Carmolandense	4 : 2
6	Atletico-MG	Manaus	4 : 1
7	Concordia	Botafogo PB	0 : 4
8	Bye	Flamengo RJ
9	Operario VG	Novorizontino	0 : 1
10	Bye	Corinthians
11	Ceara	Confianca	3 : 2
12	Bye	Palmeiras
13	Sao Paulo	Bye
14	Vitoria	Nautico	0 : 2
15	Brusque	Olaria	2 : 1
16	Athletico-PR	Guarany de Bage	3 : 1
17	Tuna Luso	CSA	0 : 5
18	Gremio	Athletic Club	4 : 3
19	Operario-PR	Tombense	1 : 0
20	Vasco	Nova Iguacu	3 : 0
21	Botafogo RJ	Bye
22	Porto Velho	Capital	1 : 3
23	Criciuma	Remo	2 : 1
24	Bragantino	EC Sao Jose	2 : 1
25	Fluminense	SER Caxias	2 : 1
26	Cascavel	Aparecidense	0 : 1
27	Internacional	Bye
28	Ceilandia	Maracana	0 : 1
29	Atletico GO	Retro	1 : 2
30	Bye	Fortaleza
31	Paysandu PA	Bye
32	Bye	Bahia

1/16-finals

1	Santos	CRB	0 : 1, 1 : 1
2	Cruzeiro	Vila Nova FC	3 : 0, 2 : 0
3	Maringa FC	Atletico-MG	0 : 4, 2 : 2
4	Botafogo PB	Flamengo RJ	2 : 4, 0 : 1
5	Novorizontino	Corinthians	0 : 1, 0 : 1
6	Ceara	Palmeiras	0 : 3, 0 : 1
7	Sao Paulo	Nautico	2 : 1, 2 : 1
8	Brusque	Athletico-PR	0 : 1, 0 : 0
9	CSA	Gremio	0 : 0, 3 : 2
10	Operario-PR	Vasco	1 : 2, 1 : 1
11	Botafogo RJ	Capital	0 : 1, 4 : 0
12	Criciuma	Bragantino	0 : 6, 1 : 0
13	Fluminense	Aparecidense	4 : 1, 1 : 0
14	Internacional	Maracana	3 : 0, 1 : 0
15	Retro	Fortaleza	2 : 1, 1 : 1
16	Paysandu PA	Bahia	0 : 4, 0 : 1

1/8-finals

1	CRB	Cruzeiro	0 : 2, 0 : 0
2	Atletico-MG	Flamengo RJ	1 : 1, 1 : 0
3	Corinthians	Palmeiras	2 : 0, 1 : 0
4	Sao Paulo	Athletico-PR	0 : 2, 2 : 1
5	CSA	Vasco	1 : 3, 0 : 0
6	Botafogo RJ	Bragantino	1 : 0, 2 : 0
7	Fluminense	Internacional	1 : 1, 2 : 1
8	Retro	Bahia	0 : 0, 2 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Cruzeiro	Atletico-MG	2 : 0, 2 : 0
2	Corinthians	Athletico-PR	2 : 0, 1 : 0
3	Vasco	Botafogo RJ	2 : 1, 1 : 1
4	Fluminense	Bahia	2 : 0, 0 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Cruzeiro	Corinthians
2	Vasco	Fluminense

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2