Retrô Brasil vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata).

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	1.33
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
6	17
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	11
Passes
71% (160/224)	85% (410/480)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.34	0.93
Total shots
6	17
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	9
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
2	10
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	11
Touches in opposition box
10	37
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
8	13
Passes
71% (160/224)	85% (410/480)
Long passes
42% (23/55)	47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
68% (58/85)	78% (138/176)
Crosses
4% (1/24)	28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.20	1.84
Throw-ins
28	20
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
67% (10/15)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
37	51
Clearances
28	33
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.93	0.34
Goals prevented
0.93	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Tales ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vagner Love ↓, Mascote ↑,
51', Franco R. 🟨,
57', David Duarte 🟨,
61', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
61', Cauly ↓, Ademir ↑,
67', Junior Fialho ↓, Mike ↑,
75', Diego Guerra ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
75', Danillo ↓, Eduardo ↑,
76', Caio Alexandre ↓, Rezende ↑,
76', Rodriguez L. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
77', Michel Araujo 🟨,
85', Kayky ↓, Tiago ↑,
87', Vagner Love 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Retrô Brasil
18.4%

Draw
25.1%

Bahia
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

28.3%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28.1%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Retrô Brasil - Bahia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (4)	3.73 ↑ (3.33)	1.67 ↓ (1.96)	6.5% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 2-3. 2nd leg.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bahia is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Retrô: Bruno Marques (Injury) Denilson (Inactive) Fernandinho (Injury) Paulo Ricardo (Inactive)
There will not play in Bahia: Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Thigh Injury) Fred Lippert (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Retrô Brasil won against Bahia?

Retrô Brasil has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Retrô Brasil?

Bahia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Retrô Brasil - Bahia were as follows:

30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2

Latest results of Retrô Brasil

03.08.2025 Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil 3:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Retrô Brasil - Ypiranga 0:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Brusque - Retrô Brasil 1:2 ✺

14.07.2025 Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Bahia

02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Bahia - Juventude 3:0 ✺

22.07.2025 América de Cali - Bahia 2:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Fortaleza - Bahia 1:1 ✺

Draw

2026

1/256-finals

1	Barra	Bye
3	America MG	Bye
4	America SE	Tirol	1 : 2
5	Ivinhema	Independente AP	1 : 0
6	Bye	Volta Redonda
7	America RN	Bye
8	Bye	GAS
9	Sampaio Correa FE	Desportiva Ferroviaria	1 : 2
10	Bye	Sport Recife
11	Anapolis	Bye
12	Bye	Cianorte
13	Rio Branco ES	Bye
14	Bye	Athletic Club
15	Ypiranga FC	Bye
16	Ji-Parana	Pantanal	2 : 0
17	Manauara	Bye
18	Bye	Itabaiana
19	Fortaleza	Bye
20	Maguary	Laguna RN	1 : 0
21	Castanhal	Bye
22	Bye	Guarani
23	Nova Iguacu	Bye
24	Bye	Lagarto
25	Santa Catarina	IAPE	2 : 0
26	Bye	Cuiaba
27	Ceilandia	Bye
28	Bye	Jacuipense
29	Mixto	Bye
30	Bye	Botafogo PB
31	Novorizontino	Bye
32	Bye	Nacional-AM
33	Sao Luiz	Bye
34	Bye	Maranhao
35	Ceara	Bye
36	Araguaina	Primavera	0 : 3
37	Joinville	Bye
38	Bye	CSA
39	Sao Bernardo	Bye
40	Bye	Alagoinhas
41	Vasco da Gama AC	Velo Clube	1 : 2
42	Bye	Vila Nova FC
43	ASA	Bye
44	Bye	Operario MS
45	Confianca	Bye
47	Tombense	Bye
48	Bye	Oratorio
49	Ponte Preta	Bye
51	SER Caxias	Bye
52	Bye	Guarany de Bage
53	Operario VG	Bye
54	Bye	Porto Velho
55	Atletico GO	Bye
56	Primavera AC	Bragantino	2 : 1
57	Boavista	Bye
58	Bye	Maringa FC
59	Retro	Bye
60	Bye	Uberlandia
61	Gama	Monte Roraima	2 : 0
62	Bye	Goias
63	Trem	Bye
64	Bye	Fluminense-PI
65	Bare	Madureira	0 : 3
66	Bye	ABC
67	Aguia De Maraba	Bye
68	Bye	Independencia
69	Tuna Luso	Bye
70	Bye	Tocantinopolis
71	Juventude	Bye
72	Galvez	Guapore	1 : 2
73	Capital FC	Bye
74	Bye	Manaus
75	Londrina	Bye
76	Bye	SC Penedense
77	Betim	Piaui	1 : 0
78	Bye	Operario-PR
79	Juazeirense	Bye
80	Bye	Capital
81	Imperatriz	Bye
82	Bye	Amazonas
83	Figueirense	Bye
84	Bye	Azuriz
85	Santa Cruz	Bye
86	Bye	Sousa
87	CRB	Bye
88	Porto-BA	Serra Branca	2 : 1
89	Portuguesa	Bye
90	Bye	AE Altos
91	Avai	Bye
92	Bye	Porto Vitoria
93	Paysandu PA	Bye
95	Portuguesa RJ	Bye
96	Bye	Maracana

1/128-finals

1	Barra	Bye
2	America MG	Tirol
3	Ivinhema	Volta Redonda
4	America RN	GAS	3 : 0
5	Desportiva Ferroviaria	Sport Recife
6	Anapolis	Cianorte	3 : 1
7	Rio Branco ES	Athletic Club
8	Ypiranga FC	Ji-Parana	2 : 0
9	Manauara	Itabaiana
10	Fortaleza	Maguary	4 : 3
11	Castanhal	Guarani	2 : 1
12	Nova Iguacu	Lagarto
13	Santa Catarina	Cuiaba
14	Ceilandia	Jacuipense	1 : 2
15	Mixto	Botafogo PB	2 : 1
16	Novorizontino	Nacional-AM	4 : 0
17	Sao Luiz	Maranhao	0 : 1
18	Ceara	Primavera	2 : 1
19	Joinville	CSA	1 : 0
20	Sao Bernardo	Alagoinhas	2 : 0
21	Velo Clube	Vila Nova FC
22	ASA	Operario MS	1 : 2
23	Confianca	Bye
24	Tombense	Oratorio	2 : 1
25	Ponte Preta	Bye
26	SER Caxias	Guarany de Bage	0 : 1
27	Operario VG	Porto Velho	1 : 2
28	Atletico GO	Primavera AC	1 : 0
29	Boavista	Maringa FC	2 : 3
30	Retro	Uberlandia	1 : 2
31	Gama	Goias	2 : 3
32	Trem	Fluminense-PI
33	Madureira	ABC	1 : 0
34	Aguia De Maraba	Independencia	2 : 0
35	Tuna Luso	Tocantinopolis
36	Juventude	Guapore
37	Capital FC	Manaus
38	Londrina	SC Penedense	1 : 0
39	Betim	Operario-PR
40	Juazeirense	Capital	1 : 2
41	Imperatriz	Amazonas	0 : 3
42	Figueirense	Azuriz
43	Santa Cruz	Sousa
44	CRB	Porto-BA
45	Portuguesa	AE Altos	5 : 1
46	Avai	Porto Vitoria
47	Paysandu PA	Bye
48	Portuguesa RJ	Maracana

1/64-finals

1	Barra	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	America RN
3	TBD #5	Anapolis
4	TBD #7	Ypiranga FC
5	TBD #9	Fortaleza
6	Castanhal	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	Jacuipense
8	Mixto	Novorizontino
9	Maranhao	Ceara
10	Joinville	Sao Bernardo
11	TBD #21	Operario MS
12	Confianca	Tombense
13	Ponte Preta	Guarany de Bage
14	Porto Velho	Atletico GO
15	Maringa FC	Uberlandia
16	Goias	TBD #32
17	Madureira	Aguia De Maraba
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	TBD #37	Londrina
20	TBD #39	Capital
21	Amazonas	TBD #42
22	TBD #43	TBD #44
23	Portuguesa	TBD #46
24	Paysandu PA	TBD #48