Welayta Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 16

Match Stats


Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
11	3
Shots on target
4	0
Corner kicks
6	4
Total shots
11	3
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
7	3
Corner kicks
6	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Welayta Dicha
30.4%

Draw
35.1%

Bahir Dar Kenema
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

32.5%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

31.1%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welayta Dicha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahir Dar Kenema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahir Dar Kenema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	2.57 ↓ (2.83)	2.62 ↑ (2.28)	10.6% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 0.
Welayta Dicha has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Bahir Dar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Welayta Dicha won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Welayta Dicha won against Bahir Dar Kenema?

Welayta Dicha has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Welayta Dicha?

Bahir Dar Kenema has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema were as follows:

12.06.2025 Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:4

03.11.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha 0:0

17.02.2024 Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:1

07.07.2023 Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:1

01.03.2023 Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha 0:0

Latest results of Welayta Dicha

16.01.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Welayta Dicha 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin 1:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Saint George - Welayta Dicha 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch 0:0 ✺

24.12.2025 Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema

15.01.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Mekelle 70 Enderta 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema 1:2 ✺

05.01.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City 0:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:0 ✺

24.12.2025 Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema 0:0 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	21	10	9	2	26:11	15	39
2	Negele Arsi Ketema	22	10	7	5	22:14	8	37
3	Hawassa	21	10	6	5	24:13	11	36
4	Mechal	22	9	7	6	29:19	10	34
5	Fasil Kenema	21	8	9	4	16:13	3	33
6	Adama City	21	7	11	3	19:17	2	32
7	Ethio Electric	21	6	10	5	11:11	0	28
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	21	5	12	4	15:15	0	27
9	Hadiya Hossana	21	7	6	8	18:21	-3	27
10	Shire Endaselassie	22	6	8	8	15:16	-1	26
11	Ethiopia Bunna	20	7	5	8	17:20	-3	26
12	St. George	21	6	7	8	16:17	-1	25
13	Dire Dawa	21	5	10	6	14:21	-7	25
14	Ethiopian Insurance	22	5	9	8	16:17	-1	24
15	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	22	5	9	8	26:29	-3	24
16	Sheger Ketema	22	4	12	6	18:21	-3	24
17	Welwalo Adigrat	22	5	9	8	16:23	-7	24
18	Welayta Dicha	21	4	10	7	22:24	-2	22
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	21	4	10	7	14:22	-8	22
20	Arba Menche	21	2	10	9	13:23	-10	16

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