Welayta Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 16

Match Stats


Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
11	3
Shots on target
4	0
Corner kicks
6	4
Total shots
11	3
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
7	3
Corner kicks
6	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Welayta Dicha
30.4%

Draw
35.1%

Bahir Dar Kenema
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

32.5%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

31.1%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welayta Dicha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahir Dar Kenema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahir Dar Kenema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	2.57 ↓ (2.83)	2.62 ↑ (2.28)	10.6% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 0.
Welayta Dicha has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Bahir Dar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Welayta Dicha won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Welayta Dicha won against Bahir Dar Kenema?

Welayta Dicha has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Welayta Dicha?

Bahir Dar Kenema has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema were as follows:

12.06.2025 Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:4

03.11.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha 0:0

17.02.2024 Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:1

07.07.2023 Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:1

01.03.2023 Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha 0:0

Latest results of Welayta Dicha

16.01.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Welayta Dicha 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin 1:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Saint George - Welayta Dicha 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch 0:0 ✺

24.12.2025 Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema

15.01.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Mekelle 70 Enderta 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema 1:2 ✺

05.01.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City 0:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:0 ✺

24.12.2025 Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema 0:0 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	26	13	9	4	32:17	15	48
2	Negele Arsi Ketema	26	11	9	6	25:18	7	42
3	Hawassa	26	11	8	7	30:21	9	41
4	Mechal	26	10	10	6	33:21	12	40
5	Fasil Kenema	26	9	12	5	18:15	3	39
6	Ethio Electric	26	9	11	6	20:15	5	38
7	Ethiopia Bunna	25	10	6	9	25:25	0	36
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	26	7	14	5	19:18	1	35
9	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	26	8	10	8	35:32	3	34
10	Adama City	26	7	12	7	24:27	-3	33
11	Hadiya Hossana	26	8	8	10	22:27	-5	32
12	Dire Dawa	26	7	11	8	18:25	-7	32
13	Welayta Dicha	26	6	13	7	27:26	1	31
14	Sheger Ketema	26	6	13	7	23:24	-1	31
15	St. George	25	8	7	10	20:22	-2	31
16	Ethiopian Insurance	26	6	11	9	20:20	0	29
17	Welwalo Adigrat	26	6	11	9	19:26	-7	29
18	Shire Endaselassie	26	6	10	10	17:21	-4	28
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	26	4	11	11	15:29	-14	23
20	Arba Menche	26	4	10	12	18:31	-13	22

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