Welwalo Adigrat vs Bahir Dar Kenema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 12

Match Stats


Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
3	8
Shots on target
1	4
Corner Kicks
1	9
Yellow Cards
1	0
Red Cards
1	0
Total shots
3	8
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
2	4
Corner Kicks
1	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Berhe S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Welwalo Adigrat
23.5%

Draw
31.4%

Bahir Dar Kenema
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

31.5%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

30.3%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.57)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)	2.03 ↑ (1.9)	9.4% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Bahir Dar is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Welwalo Adigrat won against Bahir Dar Kenema?

Welwalo Adigrat has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Welwalo Adigrat?

Bahir Dar Kenema has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema were as follows:

25.06.2025 Bahir Dar Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat 3:0

21.09.2024 Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:1

Latest results of Welwalo Adigrat

24.12.2025 Negele Arsi Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat 1:2 ✺

30.11.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Mekelle 70 Enderta 1:0 ✺

25.11.2025 Welayta Dicha - Welwalo Adigrat 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema

24.12.2025 Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema 0:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Sheger Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema 3:1 ✺

30.11.2025 Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin 1:0 ✺

25.11.2025 Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema 1:0 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	29	15	10	4	35:17	18	55
2	Mechal	29	12	11	6	36:22	14	47
3	Negele Arsi Ketema	29	11	12	6	27:20	7	45
4	Hawassa	29	11	10	8	31:23	8	43
5	Fasil Kenema	29	10	13	6	19:18	1	43
6	Ethio Electric	29	10	12	7	22:17	5	42
7	Ethiopia Bunna	29	11	8	10	33:33	0	41
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	29	7	16	6	21:22	-1	37
9	Sheger Ketema	29	7	15	7	26:25	1	36
10	St. George	29	9	9	11	24:27	-3	36
11	Welayta Dicha	29	7	14	8	28:27	1	35
12	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	29	8	11	10	35:35	0	35
13	Welwalo Adigrat	29	8	11	10	26:30	-4	35
14	Hadiya Hossana	29	8	11	10	26:31	-5	35
15	Ethiopian Insurance	29	7	13	9	24:23	1	34
16	Adama City	29	7	13	9	25:30	-5	34
17	Dire Dawa	29	7	12	10	20:30	-10	33
18	Shire Endaselassie	29	6	12	11	18:23	-5	30
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	29	6	12	11	21:31	-10	30
20	Arba Menche	29	4	13	12	21:34	-13	25

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