Coachella Valley Firebirds vs Bakersfield Condors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
28/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2937
Shooting PCT
6.9% (2/29)5.41% (2/37)
Goalkeeper Saves
3527
Saves PCT
94.59% (35/37)93.1% (27/29)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:21, 1 - 0, Hayden J. (G), Jugnauth T. (A), Hammell K. (A2)
  • 06:10, 2 - 0, Nyman J. (G), Firkus J. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 14:29, 2 - 1, Hamblin J. (G), Hutson Q. (A), Dineen C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:18, 2 - 2, Howard I. (G), Stillman R. (A), Samanski J. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 0)
  • 1, (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Coachella Valley Firebirds
40.4%
Draw
21.8%
Bakersfield Condors
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 23.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 26.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coachella Valley Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coachella Valley Firebirds than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coachella Valley Firebirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bakersfield Condors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.25)
    4.21
    (3.9)
    2.45
    (2.6)
    8.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coachella Valley won 0.
    • Coachella Valley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bakersfield has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coachella Valley won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 64:67. (average 3.2:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coachella Valley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 3.2:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
    18.02.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Coachella Valley Firebirds 4:3
    31.12.2025 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors 3:7
    20.12.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Coachella Valley Firebirds 3:2
    19.12.2025 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors 4:5
    15.11.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Coachella Valley Firebirds 6:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )