Result
2:2
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', McKeown B. 🟨,
- 26', Toure D. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Corbally K. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, McGovern P. ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Corbally K. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, Ferris N. ⚽,
- 63', 2 - 2, Murray S. ⚽,
- 67', Jarvis A. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 70', Mountney J. ↓, McMullan J. ↑,
- 76', McEleney S. ↓, O'Donnell S. ↑,
- 81', Murphy H. 🟨,
- 82', McGovern P. ↓, Mallon S. ↑,
- 82', McGerrigan L. ↓, Quinn N. ↑,
- 90', Rutkowski I. ↓, Ebbe D. ↑,
- 90+4', McMullan J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ballymena United
50.6% | Draw
26.9% | Glenavon
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ballymena United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-2%)
Ballymena United - Glenavon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.72) |
3.4 ↓
(3.55) |
4.08 ↓
(4.34) |
9.2%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ballymena United - Glenavon?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ballymena United will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Ballymena United is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ballymena United won against Glenavon?
Ballymena United has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Ballymena United?
Glenavon has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ballymena United - Glenavon were as follows:
29.11.2025
Glenavon
-
Ballymena United
3:1
09.08.2025
Glenavon
-
Ballymena United
0:2
19.04.2025
Glenavon
-
Ballymena United
2:0
30.12.2024
Ballymena United
-
Glenavon
0:2
12.10.2024
Glenavon
-
Ballymena United
0:1
Latest results of Ballymena United
Latest results of Glenavon
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Glentoran ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 62:29 | 33 | 68 |
| 3 | Coleraine ✔ | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 61:30 | 31 | 64 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 56:22 | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | Cliftonville ✔ | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 47:46 | 1 | 46 |
| 6 | Dungannon ✔ | 32 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 40:57 | -17 | 46 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers ✔ | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:51 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 | Portadown ✔ | 32 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 36:57 | -21 | 35 |
| 9 | Ballymena ✔ | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:48 | -11 | 33 |
| 10 | Bangor FC ✔ | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 11 | Glenavon ✔ | 32 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 33:60 | -27 | 25 |
| 12 | Crusaders ✔ | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 38:72 | -34 | 25 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Carrick Rangers is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Portadown is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
