Ballymena United vs Glenavon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
35
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
511
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
28
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', McKeown B. 🟨,
  • 26', Toure D. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Corbally K. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, McGovern P. ,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Corbally K. , Murray S. ,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Ferris N. ,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Murray S. ,
  • 67', Jarvis A. , Thompson J. ,
  • 70', Mountney J. , McMullan J. ,
  • 76', McEleney S. , O'Donnell S. ,
  • 81', Murphy H. 🟨,
  • 82', McGovern P. , Mallon S. ,
  • 82', McGerrigan L. , Quinn N. ,
  • 90', Rutkowski I. , Ebbe D. ,
  • 90+4', McMullan J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ballymena United
50.6%
Draw
26.9%
Glenavon
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 25.8% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 25% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ballymena United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Ballymena United - Glenavon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.72)
    3.4
    (3.55)
    4.08
    (4.34)
    9.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ballymena United - Glenavon?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ballymena United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Ballymena United is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ballymena United - Glenavon were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Glenavon - Ballymena United 3:1
    09.08.2025 Glenavon - Ballymena United 0:2
    19.04.2025 Glenavon - Ballymena United 2:0
    30.12.2024 Ballymena United - Glenavon 0:2
    12.10.2024 Glenavon - Ballymena United 0:1
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Latest results of Glenavon
    21.02.2026 Bangor - Glenavon 1:3
    14.02.2026 Glenavon - Linfield 0:3
    10.02.2026 Carrick Rangers - Glenavon 2:1
    31.01.2026 Glenavon - Cliftonville 2:1
    23.01.2026 Coleraine - Glenavon 2:0
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne ✔ 30197453:213264
    2Coleraine ✔ 30194759:273261
    3Linfield ✔ 30178553:193459
    4Glentoran28175649:282156
    5Dungannon301411536:54-1843
    6Carrick Rangers291161245:47-239
    7Cliftonville271071042:42037
    8Portadown281111634:48-1434
    9Bangor FC30951636:52-1632
    10Ballymena29851634:44-1029
    11Crusaders ✔ 29741837:63-2625
    12Glenavon ✔ 30612327:60-3319

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )