Result
0:3
20/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Nifl TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Murphy H. ↓, Quinn N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 63', 0 - 1, O'Neill P. ⚽,
- 69', 0 - 2, Millar L. ⚽,
- 70', Simpson J. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
- 70', O'Neill P. ↓, Doherty R. ↑,
- 75', Carlin S. ↓, Lowe K. ↑,
- 75', Campbell P. ↓, Gilmore G. ↑,
- 83', Graham S. 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Glenavon
17.8% | Draw
23.3% | Larne
58.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Larne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Glenavon - Larne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.15 ↓
(5.76) |
3.94 ↓
(4.32) |
1.56 ↑
(1.47) |
8.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Glenavon - Larne?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Glenavon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Larne will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
- Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Glenavon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Larne is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:46. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.5:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Larne?
Glenavon has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Glenavon?
Larne has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Glenavon - Larne were as follows:
21.11.2025
Larne
-
Glenavon
2:1
13.09.2025
Larne
-
Glenavon
1:0
22.03.2025
Glenavon
-
Larne
0:1
18.02.2025
Larne
-
Glenavon
1:1
17.09.2024
Glenavon
-
Larne
0:0
Latest results of Glenavon
Northern Irish Premiership Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 65:26 | 39 | 79 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 71:32 | 39 | 76 |
| 3 | Coleraine | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 74:35 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 60:28 | 32 | 66 |
| 5 | Cliftonville ✔ | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 | Dungannon ✔ | 36 | 15 | 1 | 20 | 42:68 | -26 | 46 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
