Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad).

Premier League - Round 11
Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	0.46
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
65% (223/343)	57% (181/319)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.35	0.17
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
5	3
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
14	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free Kicks
12	18
Passes
65% (223/343)	57% (181/319)
Long passes
31% (31/100)	32% (29/90)
Passes in final third
56% (51/91)	43% (51/120)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.56
Throw-ins
25	34
Fouls
18	12
Tackles
68% (13/19)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
76	72
Clearances
51	25
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.17	1.35
Goals prevented
0.17	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Civic E. 🟨,
18', Azzi M. 🟨,
29', Hosseinnejad M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Gil B. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Civic E. ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
46', Azzi M. ↓, Kagermazov S. ↑,
48', Mastouri H. 🟨,
48', Gassama N. 🟨,
49', Agalarov G. 🟨,
63', Yenne T. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
63', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
64', Agalarov G. ↓, Miro ↑,
64', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Dzhabrailov A. ↑,
82', Petrov I. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
90', Mrezigue H. ↓, Azzi I. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Offor C. ⚽,
90+2', Petrov M. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Baltika Kaliningrad
49.7%

Draw
29.6%

Dynamo Makhachkala
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

30.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Makhachkala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	4.64 ↑ (3.55)	4.3% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baltika: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Baltika (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Baltika (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Baltika Kaliningrad will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Baltika (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Baltika is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Baltika: Andrade K. (Red Card) Mendel A. (Injury)
There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Dapo J. (Injury) Moubarik M. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Dynamo Makhachkala?

Baltika Kaliningrad has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Baltika Kaliningrad?

Dynamo Makhachkala has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:

15.02.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:1

02.04.2023 Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad 0:0

12.09.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:1

Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad

01.10.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti 3:0 ✺

28.09.2025 CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad - Rostov 0:0 ✺

18.09.2025 CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala

02.10.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov 2:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Sochi 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Pari NN - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Rubin Kazan - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	22	15	4	3	47:16	31	49
2	Zenit	22	14	6	2	41:15	26	48
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	22	12	8	2	48:30	18	44
4	Baltika	22	11	9	2	30:9	21	42
5	CSKA Moscow	22	12	3	7	34:24	10	39
6	Spartak Moscow	22	11	5	6	35:30	5	38
7	Rubin Kazan	22	8	6	8	22:25	-3	30
8	Akhmat Grozny	22	8	6	8	27:28	-1	30
9	Dynamo Moscow	22	8	6	8	37:30	7	30
10	Akron Togliatti	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22
11	FK Rostov	22	5	7	10	17:25	-8	22
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	22	5	6	11	12:27	-15	21
13	Krylya Sovetov	22	5	6	11	22:40	-18	21
14	Pari NN	22	6	2	14	18:36	-18	20
15	Orenburg	22	4	6	12	21:33	-12	18
16	Sochi	22	2	3	17	20:52	-32	9

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL