Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala
Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11
  • Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.46
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
65% (223/343)57% (181/319)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.350.17
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
65% (223/343)57% (181/319)
Long passes
31% (31/100)32% (29/90)
Passes in final third
56% (51/91)43% (51/120)
Crosses
31% (4/13)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.56
Throw-ins
2534
Fouls
1812
Tackles
68% (13/19)78% (7/9)
Duels won
7672
Clearances
5125
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.171.35
Goals prevented
0.17-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Civic E. 🟨,
  • 18', Azzi M. 🟨,
  • 29', Hosseinnejad M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Gil B. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Civic E. , Titkov N. ,
  • 46', Azzi M. , Kagermazov S. ,
  • 48', Mastouri H. 🟨,
  • 48', Gassama N. 🟨,
  • 49', Agalarov G. 🟨,
  • 63', Yenne T. , Kovalev Y. ,
  • 63', Gil B. , Offor C. ,
  • 64', Agalarov G. , Miro ,
  • 64', Hosseinnejad M. , Dzhabrailov A. ,
  • 82', Petrov I. , Kovac S. ,
  • 90', Mrezigue H. , Azzi I. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Offor C. ,
  • 90+2', Petrov M. , Manelov I. ,

Chances of winning


Baltika Kaliningrad
49.7%
Draw
29.6%
Dynamo Makhachkala
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 29.1% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 30.3% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Makhachkala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.08)
    3.24
    (3.2)
    4.64
    (3.55)
    4.3%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baltika: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Baltika (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Baltika is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Baltika: Andrade K. (Red Card) Mendel A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Dapo J. (Injury) Moubarik M. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:
    15.02.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:1
    02.04.2023 Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad 0:0
    12.09.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:1
    Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
    Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar1392225:71829
    2Lokomotiv Moscow1376030:171327
    3CSKA Moscow1383223:131027
    4Zenit1375126:111526
    5Baltika1366118:61224
    6Spartak Moscow1364321:18322
    7Rubin Kazan1353515:19-418
    8Akhmat Grozny1244416:15116
    9Dynamo Moscow1344521:21016
    10FK Rostov1336411:14-315
    11Krylya Sovetov1334617:23-613
    12Akron Togliatti1326515:19-412
    13Dynamo Makhachkala132566:16-1011
    14Orenburg1315714:24-108
    15Pari NN1321109:23-147
    16Sochi121297:28-215

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL