Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (223/343) | 57% (181/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (223/343) | 57% (181/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (31/100) | 32% (29/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (51/91) | 43% (51/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Civic E. 🟨,
- 18', Azzi M. 🟨,
- 29', Hosseinnejad M. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Gil B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Civic E. ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
- 46', Azzi M. ↓, Kagermazov S. ↑,
- 48', Mastouri H. 🟨,
- 48', Gassama N. 🟨,
- 49', Agalarov G. 🟨,
- 63', Yenne T. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
- 63', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 64', Agalarov G. ↓, Miro ↑,
- 64', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Dzhabrailov A. ↑,
- 82', Petrov I. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
- 90', Mrezigue H. ↓, Azzi I. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Offor C. ⚽,
- 90+2', Petrov M. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
49.7% | Draw
29.6% | Dynamo Makhachkala
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Makhachkala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.08) |
3.24 ↑
(3.2) |
4.64 ↑
(3.55) |
4.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baltika: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Baltika (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Baltika is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Baltika: Andrade K.
(Red Card)
Mendel A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Dapo J.
(Injury)
Moubarik M.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Dynamo Makhachkala?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Dynamo Makhachkala has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:
15.02.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
02.04.2023
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
0:0
12.09.2022
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
