Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (452/551) | 62% (161/260) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (452/551) | 62% (161/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 31% (23/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (144/199) | 45% (36/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Kagermazov S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Agalarov G. ↓, Mastouri H. ↑,
- 46', Kagermazov S. ↓, Hosseinnejad M. ↑,
- 56', Rudenko A. ↓, Lucas Fasson ↑,
- 56', Nenakhov M. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
- 62', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Mastouri H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
- 70', Moubarik M. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
- 71', Bakaev Z. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
- 71', Karpukas A. ↓, Chevardin D. ↑,
- 77', Miro ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
- 79', Komlichenko N. 🟨,
- 79', Mastouri H. 🟨,
- 80', Nyamsi G. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
57.4% | Draw
25.5% | Dynamo Makhachkala
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67
(1.67) |
3.76 ↑
(3.6) |
5.58 ↑
(5) |
4.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala?
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Moscow will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 11).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Morozov E.
(Red Card)
Pinyaev S.
(Muscle Injury)
Vorobyev D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Shumakhov I.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Lokomotiv won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Dynamo Makhachkala?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Dynamo Makhachkala has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:
20.09.2025
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
11.03.2025
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:2
28.02.2025
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
10.08.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 51:35 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
