Result
2:2
05/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (215/321) | 74% (300/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (215/321) | 74% (300/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (29/66) | 51% (44/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (71/125) | 65% (103/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Petrov I. (A),
- 40', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Miro ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Yenne T. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Agalarov G. ⚽, Sundukov T. (A),
- 58', Belikov I. 🟨,
- 60', Civic E. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
- 61', Tabidze J. ↓, Akhmedov I. ↑,
- 67', Titkov N. ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Agalarov G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', 2 - 2, Varatynov S. ⚽,
- 85', Manelov I. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
- 85', Sundukov T. ↓, Serderov S. ↑,
- 85', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 86', Agalarov G. ↓, Mastouri H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Makhachkala
29.1% | Draw
32.8% | Baltika Kaliningrad
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baltika Kaliningrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(3.73) |
2.98 ↓
(3.03) |
2.57 ↑
(2.21) |
2.4%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Dynamo Makhachkala has had a series of away games.
- Baltika might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Dynamo Makhachkala has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Dynamo Makhachkala?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
05.10.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
15.02.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
02.04.2023
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
0:0
12.09.2022
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
