CSKA Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

VEB Arena (Moscow).

Premier League - Round 22
Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 5

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.75	0.88
Ball possession
65%	35%
Total shots
16	3
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
10	6
Passes
81% (414/509)	64% (169/264)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.75	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.22	0.99
Total shots
16	3
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
4	0
Blocked shots
8	2
Shots inside the box
15	3
Shots outside the box
1	0
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
10	6
Touches in opposition box
48	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
15	9
Passes
81% (414/509)	64% (169/264)
Long passes
46% (21/46)	35% (25/71)
Passes in final third
72% (96/133)	55% (46/83)
Crosses
36% (8/22)	22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
2.57	0.43
Throw ins
24	34
Fouls
9	15
Tackles
67% (8/12)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
53	42
Clearances
26	35
Interceptions
16	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.99	1.22
Goals prevented
-0.01	-1.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Henrique Carmo ⚽, Oblyakov I. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Kislyak M. ⚽, Henrique Carmo (A),
25', 2 - 1, Agalarov G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Gondou L. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
63', Agalarov G. ↓, Miro ↑,
63', Barinov D. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
70', Dapo J. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Musaev T. ⚽, Krugovoy D. (A),
80', Henrique Carmo ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
84', Alarcon A. 🟨,
90', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Ashurov A. ↑,
90+2', Kozlov D. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,

Chances of winning

CSKA Moscow
53.7%

Draw
27%

Dynamo Makhachkala
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23.8%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

23.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Makhachkala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Makhachkala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.46)	3.53 ↓ (3.9)	4.93 ↓ (7.4)	5.1% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
CSKA has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dynamo Makhachkala's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
CSKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, CSKA is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in CSKA: Glebov K. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Sandrachuk A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Dynamo Makhachkala?

CSKA Moscow has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against CSKA Moscow?

Dynamo Makhachkala has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:

26.11.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1

08.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 0:1

05.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 1:0

29.03.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0

19.10.2024 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 0:1

Latest results of CSKA Moscow

17.03.2026 Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow 4:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

08.03.2026 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 1:4 ✺

04.03.2026 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 3:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala

18.03.2026 Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg 1:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala 0:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan 2:1 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	24	16	5	3	49:17	32	53
2	Zenit	24	15	7	2	44:17	27	52
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	24	12	9	3	50:33	17	45
4	Baltika	24	11	11	2	34:13	21	44
5	CSKA Moscow	24	13	3	8	36:26	10	42
6	Spartak Moscow	24	12	6	6	38:32	6	42
7	Dynamo Moscow	24	9	7	8	43:35	8	34
8	Rubin Kazan	24	9	7	8	23:25	-2	34
9	Akhmat Grozny	24	8	7	9	29:31	-2	31
10	FK Rostov	24	6	8	10	19:26	-7	26
11	Dynamo Makhachkala	24	5	8	11	15:30	-15	23
12	Akron Togliatti	24	5	7	12	30:43	-13	22
13	Krylya Sovetov	24	5	7	12	25:44	-19	22
14	Pari NN	24	6	3	15	20:39	-19	21
15	Orenburg	24	4	8	12	24:36	-12	20
16	Sochi	24	3	3	18	21:53	-32	12

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL