Balzan vs Birżebbuġa St. Peters – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
12/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
83
Total shots
78
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
25
Corner kicks
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Lapira P. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 59', 0 - 2, Mosquera D. ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Arab S. ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Lapira P. ,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Oliveira M. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Dimeji A. ,

Chances of winning


Balzan
41.9%
Draw
28.6%
Birżebbuġa St. Peters
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 27.6% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 26.9% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Balzan's form might have worsened.
  • Birżebbuġa St. Peters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Balzan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birżebbuġa St. Peters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.92)
    3.14
    (3.3)
    3.05
    (3.66)
    11.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Balzan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Balzan could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters were as follows:
    01.02.2026 Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters 3:0
    04.01.2026 Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters 1:2
    Latest results of Balzan
    06.04.2026 Sirens - Balzan 0:1
    14.03.2026 Balzan - Swieqi United 1:2
    10.03.2026 Fgura United - Balzan 1:2
    28.02.2026 Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan 1:3
    22.02.2026 Balzan - St. Andrews 1:4
    Latest results of Birżebbuġa St. Peters
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr2096539:271233
    2Santa Lucia2169635:30527
    3Gudja2068624:23126
    4Zurrieq21731132:36-424
    5Vittoriosa21561024:30-621
    6Zebbug21541222:44-2219
    7Marsa21461131:37-616
    8Mtarfa2111199:89-80-2

          Relegation