Swieqi United vs Birżebbuġa St. Peters – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
23/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
511
Total shots
68
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
36
Corner kicks
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Barbara Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Zerafa D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (6 - 7)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Swieqi United
27%
Draw
27.1%
Birżebbuġa St. Peters
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 26.3% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 26.1% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swieqi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swieqi United's form might have worsened.
  • Birżebbuġa St. Peters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birżebbuġa St. Peters's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swieqi United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birżebbuġa St. Peters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Swieqi United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.72)
    3.31
    (3.45)
    1.95
    (2.25)
    11.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Swieqi United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birżebbuġa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Swieqi United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Swieqi United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swieqi United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Swieqi United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters 2:2
    28.09.2025 Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Swieqi United 0:1
    Latest results of Swieqi United
    04.04.2026 Swieqi United - Melita Melita Awarded
    14.03.2026 Balzan - Swieqi United 1:2
    Latest results of Birżebbuġa St. Peters
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SwieqiBirzebbuga1 : 2