Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Bandırmaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor
Result
3:1 ET
29/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.46
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
75% (333/444)74% (300/407)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.30
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2221
Passes
75% (333/444)74% (300/407)
Long passes
34% (23/68)42% (27/65)
Passes in final third
54% (66/122)58% (64/111)
Crosses
16% (5/32)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.56
Throw-ins
2538
Fouls
2122
Tackles
65% (15/23)71% (12/17)
Duels won
8271
Clearances
4051
Interceptions
198
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.301.28
Goals prevented
-0.70-1.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Messaoudi B. 🟨,
  • 28', Bilgic H. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Ciftci H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes ,
  • 56', Akpinar M. , Ozcan M. ,
  • 74', Camacho J. , Serginho ,
  • 77', Diony L. , Paixao M. ,
  • 77', Ndongala D. , Kaya I. ,
  • 87', Gurpuz G. 🟨,
  • 89', Gurpuz G. , Sivri A. ,
  • 89', Johnson D. , Dovedan N. ,
  • 90+2', Ciftci H. , Avci K. ,
  • Extra Time (2 - 0)
  • 91', 2 - 1, Cankaya A. R. , Kurukalip C. (A),
  • 97', Berisbek R. , Picinciol S. ,
  • 97', Bilgic H. , Louzif M. ,
  • 105', 3 - 1, Sivri A. , Dovedan N. (A),
  • 105+2', Sivri A. 🟨,
  • 108', Dovedan N. 🟨,
  • 112', Mulumba R. 🟨,
  • 113', Cankaya A. R. , Dursun S. ,
  • 115', Louzif M. 🟨,
  • 120', Kurukalip C. , Tintis E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
37.2%
Draw
30.2%
Bandırmaspor
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 27.2% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.8% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.
  • Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.12)
    3.07
    (3.42)
    2.86
    (3.18)
    7.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 2 - 50%). Bandırmaspor (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Karagümrük is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Final)
    • Bandırmaspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3.
    • Recent performances by Karagümrük have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bandırmaspor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Karagümrük could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O. (Inactive) Gurpuz G. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Kesgin K. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor 1:2
    19.10.2024 Bandırmaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Bandırmaspor
    23.05.2025 Bandırmaspor - Boluspor 1:0
    19.05.2025 Boluspor - Bandırmaspor 1:4
    10.05.2025 Bandırmaspor - Pendikspor 2:1
    04.05.2025 Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor 1:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum33007:169
    2Vanspor FK22004:226
    3Erzurumspor21104:224
    4Pendikspor21103:124
    5Keciorengucu21103:124
    6Sakaryaspor21104:314
    7Serik Spor21101:014
    8Igdir FK21014:403
    9Manisa FK21013:303
    10Umraniyespor21012:203
    11Bodrumspor20202:202
    12Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    13Boluspor20113:4-11
    14Erokspor20112:3-11
    15Sariyer30123:5-21
    16Amedspor20112:4-21
    17Sivasspor20111:3-21
    18Bandirmaspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor20112:5-3-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation