Result
1:0
03/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (247/339) | 86% (483/563) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (247/339) | 86% (483/563) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (27/76) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (41/80) | 69% (100/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Cukur T. ⚽, Lichnovsky I. (A),
- 45+4', Lichnovsky I. 🟨,
- 45+5', Mimaroglu M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+6', Goutas D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kalayci B. ↓, Larsson S. ↑,
- 46', Ahmed T. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 49', Dursun A. 🟨,
- 58', Ozcan B. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
- 69', Onur S. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
- 70', Cukur T. 🟨,
- 77', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Gurpuz G. ↑,
- 77', Traore A. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
- 82', Tongya F. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
- 82', Dursun A. ↓, Ulgun O. ↑,
- 84', Cukur T. ↓, Cinar A. ↑,
- 90+3', Babicka S. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
38.5% | Draw
28.8% | Gençlerbirliği
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.27) |
3.29 ↓
(3.43) |
2.9 ↓
(3.06) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 14).
- Recent form of Karagümrük has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Gençlerbirliği has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
Kone
(Inactive)
Sivri A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kyabou M.
(Knee Injury)
Onyekuru H.
(Injury)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Verde D.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Gençlerbirliği has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
07.12.2025
Gençlerbirliği
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:0
13.04.2025
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gençlerbirliği
0:0
08.12.2024
Gençlerbirliği
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:0
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
