Result
3:1 ET
29/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (333/444) | 74% (300/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (333/444) | 74% (300/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (23/68) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (66/122) | 58% (64/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/32) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 82 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | -1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Messaoudi B. 🟨,
- 28', Bilgic H. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Ciftci H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes ⚽,
- 56', Akpinar M. ↓, Ozcan M. ↑,
- 74', Camacho J. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 77', Diony L. ↓, Paixao M. ↑,
- 77', Ndongala D. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
- 87', Gurpuz G. 🟨,
- 89', Gurpuz G. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
- 89', Johnson D. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 90+2', Ciftci H. ↓, Avci K. ↑,
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 91', 2 - 1, Cankaya A. R. ⚽, Kurukalip C. (A),
- 97', Berisbek R. ↓, Picinciol S. ↑,
- 97', Bilgic H. ↓, Louzif M. ↑,
- 105', 3 - 1, Sivri A. ⚽, Dovedan N. (A),
- 105+2', Sivri A. 🟨,
- 108', Dovedan N. 🟨,
- 112', Mulumba R. 🟨,
- 113', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 115', Louzif M. 🟨,
- 120', Kurukalip C. ↓, Tintis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
37.2% | Draw
30.2% | Bandırmaspor
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-4%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.12) |
3.07 ↓
(3.42) |
2.86 ↓
(3.18) |
7.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 6 - 60%). Bandırmaspor (votes: 4 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- TQ, OT - Karagümrük (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Karagümrük (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Bandırmaspor (votes: 4 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Karagümrük is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Final)
- Bandırmaspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3.
- Recent performances by Karagümrük have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bandırmaspor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Karagümrük could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
Gurpuz G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Kesgin K.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Bandırmaspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Bandırmaspor has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
05.03.2025
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Bandırmaspor
1:2
19.10.2024
Bandırmaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:0
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hatayspor is Relegated to
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
