Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
18/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 26
  • Referee: Ulker H. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.170.44
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
104
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
64
Passes
87% (469/539)71% (176/247)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.170.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.691.22
Total shots
226
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
60
Shots inside the box
141
Shots outside the box
85
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
364
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
20
Free kicks
148
Passes
87% (469/539)71% (176/247)
Long passes
58% (21/36)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
81% (139/171)52% (30/58)
Crosses
23% (7/31)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.340.38
Throw ins
2822
Fouls
814
Tackles
75% (6/8)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4042
Clearances
2248
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
27
xGOT faced
1.222.69
Goals prevented
-0.78-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Alici K. , Kehinde T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 53', Kehinde T. , Amaral J. ,
  • 58', Erdem U. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Amaral J. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Vargas A. , Karapo A. (A),
  • 63', Fall M. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Diony L. , Vargas A. (A),
  • 70', Ibik A. , Sonmez K. ,
  • 70', Albayrak M. , Aydin E. ,
  • 83', Fall M. , Cinemre E. ,
  • 83', Gumuskaya M. , Acar E. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Benrahou Y. , Diony L. (A),
  • 90+1', Lindseth J. , Cissokho M. ,
  • 90+1', Vargas A. , Kahraman O. ,
  • 90+3', Talum Y. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Acar E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
37.4%
Draw
28.4%
Bandırmaspor
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.6% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 29.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.36)
    3.24
    (3.3)
    2.69
    (2.71)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Manisa (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Manisa: Gureler Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Badji A. (Red Card) Celibkay T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Manisa: Gureler Y. (Injury) Karakus V. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK 1:4
    04.05.2025 Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor 1:1
    05.01.2025 Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK 2:3
    07.04.2024 Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK 1:1
    12.11.2023 Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor 0:2
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    13.02.2026 Erokspor - Manisa FK 3:1
    08.02.2026 Manisa FK - Boluspor 4:1
    31.01.2026 Igdirspor - Manisa FK 0:0
    25.01.2026 Manisa FK - İstanbulspor 1:0
    17.01.2026 Hatayspor - Manisa FK 2:2
    Latest results of Bandırmaspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor34229377:245375
    2Amedspor34218575:344171
    3Erokspor341910577:324567
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3413111043:35850
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Boluspor341261652:52042
    15Umraniyespor341261640:42-242
    16Istanbulspor AS349131240:51-1140
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor34891743:60-1733
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to