Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Carioca 2 - Play Offs - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Mauro ⚽,
- 36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 70', 🟥,
- 89', 🟥,
Chances of winning
São Gonçalo
29.2% | Draw
35.5% | Bangu
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Gonçalo's form might have worsened.Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bangu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Gonçalo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bangu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
São Gonçalo - Bangu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.42) |
2.73 ↓
(2.8) |
2.75 ↓
(3.06) |
3.2%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- São Gonçalo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bangu is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Gonçalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has São Gonçalo won against Bangu?
São Gonçalo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bangu won against São Gonçalo?
Bangu has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Gonçalo - Bangu were as follows:
13.08.2025
Bangu
-
São Gonçalo
1:0
21.05.2025
Bangu
-
São Gonçalo
0:2
Latest results of São Gonçalo
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Sao Goncalo (1) | Olaria (4) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bangu (2) | CEAC/Araruama (3) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sao Goncalo (1) | Bangu (2) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
