Al-Nasr vs Bani Yas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai).

UAE League - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.60	2.08
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
3	7
Big chances
0	4
Corner kicks
6	5
Passes
83% (440/533)	75% (231/309)
Expected goals (xG)
0.60	2.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	1.70
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
8	8
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	4
Corner kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
19	22
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	3
Free kicks
11	9
Passes
83% (440/533)	75% (231/309)
Long passes
53% (23/43)	29% (16/55)
Passes in final third
64% (89/140)	59% (41/69)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	1.10
Throw ins
13	16
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
64% (9/14)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
53	40
Clearances
11	39
Interceptions
11	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	3
xGOT faced
1.70	0.53
Goals prevented
-0.30	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Saviour G. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 0 - 1, Wamba L. ⚽, Saviour G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Azarkan M. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
66', Ndiaye M. ↓, Agudelo K. ↑,
66', Santos J. ↓, Faiz I. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Niakate Y. ⚽,
72', Wamba L. ↓, Dabbur M. ↑,
86', Joao Victor ↓, Zamah M. ↑,
90+2', Niakate Y. ↓, Al Menhali S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Nasr
47.5%

Draw
25.8%

Bani Yas
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nasr's form might have worsened.

Bani Yas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bani Yas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nasr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bani Yas than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bani Yas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al-Nasr - Bani Yas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.63)	3.58 ↓ (3.7)	3.46 ↓ (4.4)	8.3% (11.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Al-Nasr - Bani Yas?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nasr will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Nasr will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 3.
In recent matches, Al-Nasr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bani Yas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Al-Nasr is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Bani Yas?

Al-Nasr has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bani Yas won against Al-Nasr?

Bani Yas has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Bani Yas were as follows:

02.01.2026 Bani Yas - Al-Nasr 1:2

25.10.2025 Al-Nasr - Bani Yas 0:2

09.02.2025 Bani Yas - Al-Nasr 0:0

29.08.2024 Al-Nasr - Bani Yas 4:1

02.03.2024 Al-Nasr - Bani Yas 1:0

Latest results of Al-Nasr

17.01.2026 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 0:0 ✺

06.01.2026 Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah 2:4 ✺

02.01.2026 Bani Yas - Al-Nasr 1:2 ✺

28.12.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Ain 2:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Bani Yas

18.01.2026 Bani Yas - Al Bataeh 1:1 ✺

06.01.2026 Al-Wahda - Bani Yas 3:0 ✺

02.01.2026 Bani Yas - Al-Nasr 1:2 ✺

29.12.2025 Al Dhafra - Bani Yas 0:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Bani Yas - Khor Fakkan 0:3 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	18	13	5	0	38:16	22	44
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	17	13	3	1	38:5	33	42
3	Al Wahda	17	9	6	2	28:14	14	33
4	Al Jazira	18	9	4	5	28:16	12	31
5	Al Wasl	17	8	6	3	21:16	5	30
6	Al Nasr	18	5	8	5	22:23	-1	23
7	Ajman	18	7	2	9	19:24	-5	23
8	Ittihad Kalba	18	5	5	8	19:28	-9	20
9	Khorfakkan	18	5	4	9	26:33	-7	19
10	Al Dhafra	18	5	3	10	24:37	-13	18
11	Al Sharjah	17	5	2	10	22:32	-10	17
12	Bani Yas	17	4	2	11	16:30	-14	14
13	Dibba Al Fujairah	17	3	4	10	16:32	-16	13
14	Al Bataeh	18	3	4	11	17:28	-11	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1