Result
6:2
08/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 25
- Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 2.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/386) | 76% (218/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.24 | 2.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/386) | 76% (218/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/69) | 55% (30/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (67/101) | 61% (50/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.44 | 5.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Kricfalusi O. ⚽, Kohut M. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Jurecka V. ⚽, Boula J. (A),
- 21', Cernin J. 🟨,
- 34', 3 - 0, Jurecka V. ⚽, Holzer D. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Cernin J. ↓, Pesek J. ↑,
- 46', Didiba J. ↓, Cupak M. ↑,
- 52', 3 - 1, Poznar T. ⚽, Machalik D. (A),
- 54', 4 - 1, Kricfalusi O. ⚽,
- 55', Planka D. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
- 59', 5 - 1, Gning A. ⚽, Rusnak M. (A),
- 66', Machalik D. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
- 66', Poznar T. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
- 67', Kohut M. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
- 67', Rusnak M. ↓, Bewene A. ↑,
- 71', 6 - 1, Jurecka V. ⚽, Gning A. (A),
- 76', Jurecka V. ↓, Havran M. ↑,
- 76', Gning A. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
- 86', Nombil C. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
- 87', 6 - 2, Kanu S. ⚽, Pesek J. (A),
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
51.5% | Draw
27% | Zlín
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Zlín aligns with the current prediction.
Baník Ostrava - Zlín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.68) |
3.48 ↓
(3.75) |
4.36 ↓
(4.65) |
6.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Zlín?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Zlín will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Zlín (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Zlín (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Zlín (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 20%). Zlín (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Zlín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Baník Ostrava is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 2.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Zlín?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Baník Ostrava?
Zlín has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Zlín were as follows:
05.10.2025
Zlín
-
Baník Ostrava
1:1
03.03.2024
Zlín
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
01.11.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Zlín
0:1
23.09.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Zlín
5:1
24.05.2023
Zlín
-
Baník Ostrava
2:1
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:30 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Plzen ✔ | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Liberec | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Hradec Kralove | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:44 | -11 | 32 |
| 10 | Zlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:51 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 | Teplice | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Bohemians | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20:34 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
