Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 11
- Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (228/309) | 81% (386/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (228/309) | 81% (386/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/64) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (54/90) | 62% (74/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Cernin J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pira J. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
- 46', Pojezny K. ↓, Frydek Ch. ↑,
- 51', Almasi L. 🟨,
- 59', Pisoja M. 🟨,
- 62', Havran M. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 65', Pisoja M. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
- 65', Poznar T. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
- 74', Buchta D. ↓, Jaron P. ↑,
- 84', Kalabiska J. ↓, Machalik D. ↑,
- 85', Fukala M. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
- 87', Planka D. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 90', Nombil C. ↓, Krapka A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Munksgaard A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zlín
39.3% | Draw
27.9% | Baník Ostrava
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zlín's performance.Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zlín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zlín - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.8) |
3.38 ↑
(3.35) |
2.83 ↑
(2.4) |
6.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zlín - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zlín: 2.5% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Baník Ostrava (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Zlín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Zlín: Bachurek S.
(Injury)
Trummer V.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kohut M.
(Health problems)
Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Lischka D.
(Injury)
Rusnak M.
(Health problems)
Tiehi C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Holec D.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:40. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Baník Ostrava?
Zlín has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Zlín?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zlín - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
03.03.2024
Zlín
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
01.11.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Zlín
0:1
23.09.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Zlín
5:1
24.05.2023
Zlín
-
Baník Ostrava
2:1
29.01.2023
Zlín
-
Baník Ostrava
1:1
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 50:18 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Karvina | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Hradec Kralove | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Zlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Teplice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 14:34 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
