Baník Ostrava vs Zlín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava).

Chance Liga - Round 25
Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.96	2.10
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
9	5
Big chances
6	3
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
80% (309/386)	76% (218/287)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.96	2.10
xG on target (xGOT)
5.24	2.44
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
9	5
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
10	8
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
6	3
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
20	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
7	10
Passes
80% (309/386)	76% (218/287)
Long passes
38% (26/69)	55% (30/55)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)	61% (50/82)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.39	0.79
Throw ins
33	17
Fouls
10	7
Tackles
45% (5/11)	88% (15/17)
Duels won
33	44
Clearances
26	21
Interceptions
1	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.44	5.24
Goals prevented
0.44	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kricfalusi O. ⚽, Kohut M. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Jurecka V. ⚽, Boula J. (A),
21', Cernin J. 🟨,
34', 3 - 0, Jurecka V. ⚽, Holzer D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Cernin J. ↓, Pesek J. ↑,
46', Didiba J. ↓, Cupak M. ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Poznar T. ⚽, Machalik D. (A),
54', 4 - 1, Kricfalusi O. ⚽,
55', Planka D. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
59', 5 - 1, Gning A. ⚽, Rusnak M. (A),
66', Machalik D. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
66', Poznar T. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
67', Kohut M. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
67', Rusnak M. ↓, Bewene A. ↑,
71', 6 - 1, Jurecka V. ⚽, Gning A. (A),
76', Jurecka V. ↓, Havran M. ↑,
76', Gning A. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
86', Nombil C. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
87', 6 - 2, Kanu S. ⚽, Pesek J. (A),

Chances of winning

Baník Ostrava
51.5%

Draw
27%

Zlín
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

23.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Zlín aligns with the current prediction.

Baník Ostrava - Zlín Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)	3.48 ↓ (3.75)	4.36 ↓ (4.65)	6.3% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Zlín?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Zlín will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Zlín (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Zlín (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Zlín (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 20%). Zlín (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Zlín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Baník Ostrava is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 2.8:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Zlín?

Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Baník Ostrava?

Zlín has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Zlín were as follows:

05.10.2025 Zlín - Baník Ostrava 1:1

03.03.2024 Zlín - Baník Ostrava 0:1

01.11.2023 Baník Ostrava - Zlín 0:1

23.09.2023 Baník Ostrava - Zlín 5:1

24.05.2023 Zlín - Baník Ostrava 2:1

Latest results of Baník Ostrava

04.03.2026 Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava 5:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav 0:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Slovan Liberec - Baník Ostrava 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Zlín

01.03.2026 Zlín - Viktoria Plzeň 3:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Hradec Králové - Zlín 0:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Dukla Prague - Zlín 0:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Zlín - Sparta Prague 0:3 ✺

01.02.2026 Slovan Liberec - Zlín 2:0 ✺

Czech 1 Liga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Slavia Prague ✔	26	19	7	0	58:20	38	64
2	Sparta Prague ✔	26	16	6	4	54:30	24	54
3	Plzen	26	14	6	6	47:31	16	48
4	Jablonec	26	13	6	7	32:27	5	45
5	Sigma Olomouc	26	11	7	8	28:25	3	40
6	Liberec	26	10	9	7	38:25	13	39
7	Hradec Kralove	26	10	7	9	35:32	3	37
8	Karvina	26	10	3	13	38:44	-6	33
9	Zlin	26	8	7	11	32:38	-6	31
10	FK Pardubice	26	7	8	11	31:44	-13	29
11	Teplice	26	6	10	10	25:31	-6	28
12	Bohemians	26	7	6	13	20:32	-12	27
13	Mlada Boleslav	26	6	9	11	36:49	-13	27
14	Slovacko	26	5	8	13	22:36	-14	23
15	Ostrava	26	5	7	14	24:36	-12	22
16	Dukla Prague	26	3	10	13	16:36	-20	19

      Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
      Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )