Hradec Králové vs Baník Ostrava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Chance Liga - Round 26
  • Referee: Stary D. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.060.57
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
24
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
45
Passes
72% (267/370)76% (346/453)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.060.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.17
Total shots
612
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
15
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
107
Passes
72% (267/370)76% (346/453)
Long passes
24% (14/59)33% (21/64)
Passes in final third
53% (39/74)57% (77/136)
Crosses
31% (4/13)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.48
Throw ins
1930
Fouls
710
Tackles
53% (9/17)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4147
Clearances
3114
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
0.170.54
Goals prevented
0.17-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Kohut M. 🟨,
  • 39', Gning A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sancl F. , Planka D. ,
  • 57', Chalus M. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Mihalik O. , Pilar V. (A),
  • 62', Rusnak M. , Bewene A. ,
  • 66', Ludvicek D. 🟨,
  • 67', Dancak S. 🟨,
  • 71', Gning A. , Pira J. ,
  • 77', Mihalik O. , Regza M. ,
  • 77', Pilar V. , Binar A. ,
  • 77', Kohut M. , Musak A. ,
  • 88', Darida V. , Neto E. ,
  • 90+1', Vlkanova A. , Hodek J. ,

Chances of winning


Hradec Králové
40.4%
Draw
28.9%
Baník Ostrava
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 27.6% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 27.5% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hradec Králové has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.08)
    3.22
    (3.33)
    3.05
    (3.25)
    7.1%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hradec Králové will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hradec Králové: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hradec Králové (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hradec Králové won 1.
    • Hradec Králové has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Baník Ostrava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hradec Králové is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Hradec Králové: Chvatal J. (Convalescence) Cmelik L. (Health problems) Kucera J. (Injury) Petrasek T. (Knee Injury) Suchomel M. (Broken Hand) van Buren M. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F. (Knee Injury) Latal D. (Knee Injury) Sinyavskiy V. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hradec Králové won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hradec Králové won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
    04.03.2026 Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava 0:1
    19.10.2025 Baník Ostrava - Hradec Králové 0:1
    08.12.2024 Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava 0:1
    11.08.2024 Baník Ostrava - Hradec Králové 1:0
    09.12.2023 Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava 2:3
    Latest results of Hradec Králové
    Latest results of Baník Ostrava
    Czech 1 Liga Table
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    2Sparta Prague30196560:332763
    3Plzen30158750:341653
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    5Hradec Kralove30147943:34949
    6Liberec301210843:301346
    7Sigma Olomouc301271134:34043
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    9Karvina301231543:51-839
    10Bohemians301061426:35-936
    11Mlada Boleslav308111144:52-835
    12Zlin30971437:48-1134
    13Teplice306111329:38-929
    14Dukla Prague304111520:42-2223
    15Slovacko30581726:45-1923
    16Ostrava30571825:45-2022

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