Result
2:2
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Kike ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', 1 - 1, Mandiang S. ⚽,
- 61', Romero Morillo A. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
- 63', Jimenez I. 🟨,
- 67', Jimenez I. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
- 67', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
- 71', Lopez O. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
- 71', Pena A. ↓, Torra M. ↑,
- 75', Garcia M. ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
- 75', Losada M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
- 75', Buron L. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
- 80', Mandiang S. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
- 84', Marcelo A. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 2, Valino A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zamora
41.4% | Draw
31% | Barakaldo
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Zamora - Barakaldo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.16) |
2.94 ↓
(3.06) |
3.32 ↓
(3.37) |
9.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
- Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barakaldo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Zamora might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamora won against Barakaldo?
Zamora has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Zamora?
Barakaldo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Barakaldo were as follows:
06.09.2025
Barakaldo
-
Zamora
1:1
02.03.2025
Zamora
-
Barakaldo
2:1
18.10.2024
Barakaldo
-
Zamora
0:3
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
