Result
2:2
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Kike ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', 1 - 1, Mandiang S. ⚽,
- 61', Romero Morillo A. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
- 63', Jimenez I. 🟨,
- 67', Jimenez I. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
- 67', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
- 71', Lopez O. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
- 71', Pena A. ↓, Torra M. ↑,
- 75', Garcia M. ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
- 75', Losada M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
- 75', Buron L. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
- 80', Mandiang S. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
- 84', Marcelo A. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 2, Valino A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zamora
41.4% | Draw
31% | Barakaldo
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Zamora - Barakaldo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.16) |
2.94 ↓
(3.06) |
3.32 ↓
(3.37) |
9.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
- Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barakaldo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Zamora might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamora won against Barakaldo?
Zamora has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Zamora?
Barakaldo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Barakaldo were as follows:
06.09.2025
Barakaldo
-
Zamora
1:1
02.03.2025
Zamora
-
Barakaldo
2:1
18.10.2024
Barakaldo
-
Zamora
0:3
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 52:19 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 3 | Real Madrid B | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | Zamora | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 43:37 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 36:28 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Lugo | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao B | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 33:36 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36:37 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:41 | -9 | 35 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 34 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 23:38 | -15 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29:43 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
