Baranovichi vs Smorgon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Cup Baranovichi - Smorgon
Result
0:1
13/07/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BELARUS: Belarusian Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Kipra D. 🟨,
  • 18', 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Gaevoy M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Askarov M. 🟨,
  • 63', Askarov M. , Tishko A. ,
  • 63', Gorbach P. , Lutsevich T. ,
  • 63', Bamba M. L. , Seleznev P. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Baranovichi
12.5%
Draw
17.8%
Smorgon
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.9% 21.5% 61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2% 20% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baranovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Smorgon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baranovichi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smorgon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Baranovichi - Smorgon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.27
    (5.43)
    5.1
    (4.25)
    1.31
    (1.49)
    9.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Smorgon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Smorgon is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Baranovichi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Baranovichi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.
    Latest results of Baranovichi
    Latest results of Smorgon
    06.07.2024 Smorgon - BATE Borisov 0:0
    29.06.2024 Neman Grodno - Smorgon 2:1
    21.06.2024 Smorgon - Slutsk 4:1
    31.05.2024 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 3:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1InformLida0 : 6
    2ByeArsenal Dzerzhinsk
    3BelshinaBye
    4ByeMolodechno
    5PolotskBaranovici0 : 5
    6ByeML Vitebsk
    7SvislochFC Slonim1 : 4
    8ByeNeman
    9Nadezhda BaranoviciUni X Labs0 : 2
    10ByeSmorgon
    11Neman MostyBumProm Gomel0 : 4
    12ByeZhodino
    13BobovnyaKrumkachy1 : 2
    14ByeNaftan
    15Agro PelishcheEnergetik-BGU0 : 2
    16ByeBATE
    17Gazovik VitebskOstrovets0 : 6
    18ByeSlutsk
    19MioryNiva Dolbizno0 : 4
    20ByeIsloch
    21Mozyrskiy NPZLokomotiv Gomel0 : 3
    22ByeDin. Minsk
    23Dnepr MogilevBye
    24ByeVitebsk
    25Stanles PinskVolna Pinsk0 : 3
    26ByeFC Minsk
    27Drut BelynichiOrsha0 : 2
    28ByeDynamo Brest
    29KrechetOsipovichi0 : 4
    30ByeSlavia Mozyr
    31Technolog MogilevDMedia0 : 6
    32ByeFC Gomel

    1/16-finals
    1LidaArsenal Dzerzhinsk0 : 1
    2BelshinaMolodechno0 : 3
    3BaranoviciML Vitebsk1 : 2
    4FC SlonimNeman
    5Uni X LabsSmorgon0 : 2
    6BumProm GomelZhodino0 : 2
    7KrumkachyNaftan1 : 2
    8Energetik-BGUBATE0 : 1
    9OstrovetsSlutsk0 : 3
    10Niva DolbiznoIsloch0 : 4
    11Lokomotiv GomelDin. Minsk
    12Dnepr MogilevVitebsk0 : 1
    13Volna PinskFC Minsk2 : 3
    14OrshaDynamo Brest1 : 8
    15OsipovichiSlavia Mozyr1 : 5
    16DMediaFC Gomel0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Arsenal DzerzhinskMolodechno1 : 0
    2ML VitebskTBD #4
    3SmorgonZhodino
    4NaftanBATE3 : 4
    5SlutskIsloch1 : 2
    6TBD #11Vitebsk
    7FC MinskDynamo Brest2 : 3
    8Slavia MozyrFC Gomel1 : 0