Barbadás vs Gran Peña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Barbadás - Gran Peña
Result
2:0
17/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Barbadás
32.5%
Draw
28.4%
Gran Peña
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 26.5% 54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 26% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barbadás's performance.
  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gran Peña might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barbadás that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Peña could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barbadás - Gran Peña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (4.72)
    3.22
    (3.44)
    2.35
    (1.68)
    9.2%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Barbadás has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Gran Peña is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gran Peña could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Gran Peña is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Barbadás won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barbadás won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barbadás - Gran Peña were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Gran Peña - Barbadás 0:0
    02.12.2023 Barbadás - Gran Peña 0:2
    Latest results of Barbadás
    12.04.2025 Villalonga - Barbadás 1:0
    30.03.2025 Valladares - Barbadás 1:1
    23.03.2025 Barbadás - Sarriana 0:0
    08.03.2025 Barbadás - Alondras 1:2
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    06.04.2025 Gran Peña - UD Ourense 1:1
    30.03.2025 Betanzos - Gran Peña 2:1
    23.03.2025 Gran Peña - Polvorín 3:2
    16.03.2025 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2