Result
1:2
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 🟥,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña
50.8% | Draw
28.4% | Barbadás
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Gran Peña - Barbadás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.79) |
3.21 ↑
(3.16) |
4.39 ↓
(4.39) |
9.7%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In recent matches, Gran Peña has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barbadás has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Gran Peña may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gran Peña is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Barbadás?
Gran Peña has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barbadás won against Gran Peña?
Barbadás has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Barbadás were as follows:
17.04.2025
Barbadás
-
Gran Peña
2:0
15.09.2024
Gran Peña
-
Barbadás
0:0
02.12.2023
Barbadás
-
Gran Peña
0:2
Latest results of Gran Peña
Latest results of Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 41:20 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 3 | Somozas | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 42 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 29:19 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | Atletico Arteixo | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Barco | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Estradense | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Celtiga | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 36 |
| 11 | Boiro | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 36 |
| 12 | Alondras | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Montaneros | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Cambados | 26 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17:26 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Noia | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18:42 | -24 | 18 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16:46 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
