Result
1:2
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 🟥,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña
50.8% | Draw
28.4% | Barbadás
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Gran Peña - Barbadás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.79) |
3.21 ↑
(3.16) |
4.39 ↓
(4.39) |
9.7%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In recent matches, Gran Peña has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barbadás has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Gran Peña may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gran Peña is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Barbadás?
Gran Peña has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barbadás won against Gran Peña?
Barbadás has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Barbadás were as follows:
17.04.2025
Barbadás
-
Gran Peña
2:0
15.09.2024
Gran Peña
-
Barbadás
0:0
02.12.2023
Barbadás
-
Gran Peña
0:2
Latest results of Gran Peña
Latest results of Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
