Result
4:1
08/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Dick ⚽,
- 9', 1 - 1, Matheus Sacramento ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 1, Felipe Para ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 78', 3 - 1, Tinga ⚽,
- 85', 4 - 1, Reny Max ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sergipe 57.9% | Draw 26.9% | Barcelona de Ilhéus 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↑ (1.46) |
3.39 ↓ (3.78) |
5.99 ↓ (6.18) |
9.8% (11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
- Sergipe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barcelona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sergipe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sergipe is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sergipe won against Barcelona de Ilhéus?
Sergipe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona de Ilhéus won against Sergipe?
Barcelona de Ilhéus has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus were as follows:
01.06.2025
Barcelona de Ilhéus
-
Sergipe
0:1
Latest results of Sergipe
Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | 3 : 2, 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Santa Cruz | Barra FC | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |